Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33078436cccbc4bc7289d1374388adc811b3bc17e21a562f3804aa13459ddba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed Yes | 72c | 2,867$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 2,660$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 1,699$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,172$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 975.48$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.04 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 63c | 952$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.74 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 30c | 529.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 469.8$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 340.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 29c | 326.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 4c | 322$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 61c | 300.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.28 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 280.93$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 40c | 250.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 41c | 183.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 71c | 178.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 62c | 158.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 61c | 132.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 24c | 125.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 38c | 99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 50c | 82.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 36c | 81.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 39c | 72.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 59.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…f756backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 28c | 41.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 39c | 39.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 62c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 40c | 37.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 37c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked No | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…a289backed Yes | 40c | 25.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 47c | 25.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…cf40backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.