Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8712afca01f9c61d0b0aeed4a51f1ba092af3bcd38cfecb1a46a26e2a4f9ddc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,322$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.93 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 859.71$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.7 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 494$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 412$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 376.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 33c | 252.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 231.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 34c | 194$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 34c | 177$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 35c | 173$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 35c | 141.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 40c | 123.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 15c | 111.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 69c | 107.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…f957backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 66c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 50c | 88.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked No | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 54.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed No | 65c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 65c | 33.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 67c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.