NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd4e04ff194c55a1c70f9e5b9ea9b5d5794a6d80815c0a3fc9a9cd884e5b6b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Mavericks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $969,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $960,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 945 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0140…9028backed Mavericks | 28c | 202,908$56,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,194.11 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 72c | 65,529$47,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,494.12 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Mavericks | 26c | 50,000$12,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,959.27 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 71c | 40,000$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 72c | 37,838$27,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,626.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 73c | 32,711$23,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,920.78 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 23c | 31,531$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,220.86 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Mavericks | 29c | 28,000$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Heat | 72c | 27,744$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,743.96 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 76c | 25,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Heat | 72c | 22,078$15,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.07 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mavericks | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Mavericks | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Heat | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Mavericks | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Mavericks | 27c | 20,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.94 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 34c | 18,096$6,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,193.2 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 33c | 18,077$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 72c | 17,135$12,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.67 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 28c | 15,518$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.68 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 28c | 12,246$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.86 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 28c | 11,650$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.74 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Heat | 70c | 11,585$8,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.19 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Mavericks | 25c | 10,885$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.35 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Mavericks | 26c | 10,498$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Heat | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Heat | 72c | 9,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Heat | 71c | 9,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c25…21f1backed Heat | 71c | 7,800$5,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 24c | 7,650$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.52 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Heat | 72c | 7,396$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.83 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 71c | 7,249$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.18 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 24c | 7,129$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 75c | 6,850$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.49 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Mavericks | 25c | 6,080$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.77 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat | 73c | 6,075$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.07 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 70c | 5,187$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 78c | 5,135$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.83 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Mavericks | 27c | 5,034$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.37 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Mavericks | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.91 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Heat | 68c | 4,685$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.15 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks | 24c | 4,400$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.95 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Heat | 74c | 4,317$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.32 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 19c | 4,159$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Mavericks | 26c | 3,999$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.7 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Mavericks | 36c | 3,731$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Heat | 72c | 3,560$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.66 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Mavericks | 24c | 3,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.88 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat | 79c | 3,261$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.59 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks | 27c | 3,175$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.23 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Heat | 73c | 3,120$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.4 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 29c | 2,959$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…47a8backed Mavericks | 25c | 2,650$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Mavericks | 39c | 2,536$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Heat | 72c | 2,485$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.47 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks | 25c | 2,326$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.47 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Heat | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Mavericks | 5c | 2,052$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Mavericks | 25c | 2,005$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.26 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Mavericks | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…39edbacked Mavericks | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda96…7d56backed Heat | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Heat | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Heat | 53c | 2,000$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks | 25c | 1,971$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 72c | 1,924$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.96 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Heat | 51c | 1,913$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.35 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Heat | 79c | 1,903$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.48 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…ced1backed Mavericks | 29c | 1,900$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…424ebacked Mavericks | 29c | 1,843$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Mavericks | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…3ae7backed Mavericks | 20c | 1,797$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 71c | 1,797$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.23 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Heat | 75c | 1,779$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.44 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,754$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Heat | 74c | 1,713$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.34 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Heat | 75c | 1,599$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.75 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 75c | 1,590$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.63 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Heat | 74c | 1,572$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.69 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 73c | 1,564$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.25 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks | 31c | 1,551$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.66 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Heat | 65c | 1,523$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Heat | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.42 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Heat | 73c | 1,500$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Heat | 75c | 1,496$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.97 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Heat | 69c | 1,460$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heat | 75c | 1,451$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.2 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,446$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Heat | 62c | 1,407$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.86 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Heat | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…3fa8backed Heat | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Heat | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Heat | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…11debacked Mavericks | 29c | 1,350$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Heat | 72c | 1,335$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.07 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…259dbacked Heat | 76c | 1,329$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.