TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c45,000$17,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,399.998944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c34,309$26,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,465.0262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No61c19,216$11,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,587.827741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No58c17,252$10,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,239.6810752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No41c14,936$6,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,812.244052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No80c11,417$9,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.523265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes61c11,175$6,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,818.5314337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes43c9,199$3,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,955.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c7,914$5,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.7771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes45c5,121$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x137b…aa61backed Yes56c3,101$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes54c2,560$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No71c2,432$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.4737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No41c2,399$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes58c2,337$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.418447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c2,208$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.8624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c2,089$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.431,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes12c2,040$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes61c2,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2102638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2402441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes48c1,991$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.5628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes30c1,840$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9120232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes59c1,800$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No76c1,763$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.63562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c1,691$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.961,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes44c1,673$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes43c1,634$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.812147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes53c1,560$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83470%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No38c1,474$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes13c1,397$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.875729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No39c1,260$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.522050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked No58c1,250$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7911735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes41c1,152$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0926040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Yes12c1,012$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5902867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No59c981.25$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.311637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes58c929.64$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.194645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes57c892.34$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00cf…5120backed Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c804.19$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c773.15$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.6135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes19c649$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No37c648.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7314452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes61c642$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7523153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2532…5b32backed Yes11c636.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed No58c635.83$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes49c632.65$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes63c619.65$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.66850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No60c550.98$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes45c550$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60e6…5ab3backed Yes62c520.98$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.997146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes58c482.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1312050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed No42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No72c456.23$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7712343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No60c450.63$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.251154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519c…7fc9backed Yes44c445.45$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes61c430$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.32147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes61c425$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.259156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…0088backed Yes26c410$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6428…bc3cbacked Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe71…bd57backed Yes6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes57c386.45$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes41c373.66$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes46c353$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No58c351.12$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c350$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.55556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes58c341.68$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes51c332.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1035…e881backed Yes62c320.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Yes55c309.41$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a88…2854backed Yes34c299.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes57c299.98$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.994551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes25c299.95$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes59c298$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes42c268.36$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No39c259.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.611644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes31c257.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+110.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes39c255.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes59c247.9$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.261963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426e…acd0backed Yes50c239.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes51c234.84$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd7…6c3ebacked Yes44c229.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa846…f93bbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes62c224.7$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.