TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Texas A&M vs. Texas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texasof Texas A&M, Texas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,215,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,925,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,215,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Texas44c500,000$219,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280,055.043164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Texas A&M56c230,560$129,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,113.837846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Texas44c215,820$94,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,111.7232745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Texas A&M32c203,111$65,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,729.0416234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Texas A&M57c127,035$72,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,139.6212055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Texas A&M58c119,486$68,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,715.2410448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Texas A&M59c91,431$53,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,658.3119362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Texas43c64,777$27,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,003.9793548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Texas A&M56c60,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,599.999750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Texas A&M56c40,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,4007342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Texas44c38,286$16,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,325.725446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Texas A&M57c34,710$19,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,842.79875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Texas45c32,676$14,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,971.983056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas49c32,671$15,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,739.0181847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x569e…4175backed Texas44c28,876$12,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,272.02650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M56c27,787$15,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,520.972,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas A&M52c27,389$14,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,277.4458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Texas42c26,458$11,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,330.835745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Texas37c25,413$9,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,095.561741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Texas A&M46c25,269$11,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,524.5152449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Texas44c23,808$10,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,370.249844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Texas A&M53c23,769$12,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,672.1826244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Texas43c21,755$9,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,382.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas A&M11c21,708$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.240541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Texas42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,60039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80c5…65d1backed Texas A&M56c20,000$11,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,195.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Texas A&M57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Texas54c18,581$10,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,573.85565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Texas A&M56c18,030$10,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,096.814743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Texas A&M78c16,028$12,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,428.43641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Texas A&M39c15,483$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,036.0113933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Texas A&M56c15,402$8,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,590.5220450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Texas43c13,815$5,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,919.8526147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1cb…85eebacked Texas44c13,621$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,595.521546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas A&M18c13,443$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.3964841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Texas43c12,525$5,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,180.9321348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Texas A&M57c12,345$7,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,005.5968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Texas A&M58c12,090$7,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,012.332462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e11…82a9backed Texas A&M21c11,625$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+96.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Texas44c11,250$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3002055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas A&M55c10,287$5,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,706.0529249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Texas A&M78c10,268$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Texas43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,700.213151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas A&M56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9827246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Texas A&M57c9,900$5,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,603.591457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Texas46c9,785$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,285.398348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed Texas A&M48c8,292$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Texas A&M22c8,289$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.0323751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Texas45c7,778$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+112.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Texas A&M55c7,724$4,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24317946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Texas43c7,547$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.688331.3%26 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Texas A&M57c7,000$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.242450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Texas A&M68c6,770$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,615.354540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Texas44c6,685$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,756.6534529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Texas44c5,682$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.825152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed98…f455backed Texas A&M56c5,591$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b02…cd72backed Texas44c5,582$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Texas A&M56c5,223$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.889457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Texas48c5,213$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Texas A&M4c5,169$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8413149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Texas A&M55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7503148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texas A&M57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Texas A&M56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8006947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Texas36c5,000$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.994141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb9…3defbacked Texas42c4,973$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Texas44c4,968$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.633537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Texas A&M73c4,965$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,644.73959%23 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc233…f731backed Texas A&M33c4,766$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Texas33c4,515$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.5324229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d52…47c5backed Texas35c4,045$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.491118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-56.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Texas A&M55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas A&M49c3,808$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.1955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Texas A&M58c3,740$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.133764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Texas A&M35c3,725$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb964…a6edbacked Texas A&M57c3,622$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Texas A&M58c3,476$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Texas A&M2c3,373$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.14790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Texas48c3,333$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.1338450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Texas51c3,274$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.155754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5cd…9cf5backed Texas43c3,260$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas62c3,077$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.4819842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas A&M35c3,010$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.6163243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Texas A&M56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Texas A&M18c3,000$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.573336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Texas A&M58c2,950$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7113063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Texas A&M53c2,918$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.9349443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c99…82fbbacked Texas46c2,868$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.933033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Texas44c2,744$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.764247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Texas36c2,740$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.872630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas A&M54c2,624$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.5748546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Texas35c2,615$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.1720039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d1…0c60backed Texas A&M59c2,559$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.221145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Texas A&M56c2,545$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.371346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Texas A&M51c2,530$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.0910047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Texas A&M56c2,500$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.858145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e6…1dc2backed Texas A&M60c2,489$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee29…8c8bbacked Texas A&M50c2,444$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Texas A&M54c2,438$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.6410851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas41c2,350$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.1120553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Texas43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.