College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989fe5c7b8d83dbe9f21e3090ed6c16cb3cc9eed35cc74a1330154a887ffb74b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Texas A&M, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $560,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas A&M | 52c | 250,682$131,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,266.15 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texas | 47c | 233,877$110,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,918.06 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas | 48c | 125,542$59,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,594.26 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Texas | 49c | 91,315$44,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,570.65 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Texas A&M | 52c | 78,590$41,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,050.48 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Texas A&M | 54c | 46,296$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Texas A&M | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texas A&M | 49c | 16,137$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.31 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Texas A&M | 51c | 12,191$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.07 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Texas A&M | 52c | 10,000$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.31 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas | 54c | 6,476$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.26 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Texas A&M | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Texas | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Texas A&M | 53c | 4,852$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas A&M | 46c | 3,323$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.07 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Texas | 48c | 2,700$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Texas A&M | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Texas | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Texas A&M | 53c | 1,550$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.68 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…6a35backed Texas A&M | 52c | 1,477$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas A&M | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas A&M | 54c | 1,263$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.02 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Texas A&M | 47c | 1,219$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.91 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texas | 53c | 1,112$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.64 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda06…75d9backed Texas | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd8…3bf3backed Texas A&M | 54c | 903.7$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texas | 49c | 778.96$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.19 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Texas | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Texas A&M | 48c | 568$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Texas | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas A&M | 47c | 385$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Texas A&M | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Texas A&M | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texas A&M | 47c | 372$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…8e91backed Texas A&M | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Texas A&M | 52c | 318.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Texas A&M | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Texas | 50c | 228.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Texas A&M | 52c | 222.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Texas A&M | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Texas | 48c | 210$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Texas | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Texas | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…b176backed Texas A&M | 53c | 200.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Texas A&M | 52c | 200.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Texas | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Texas A&M | 46c | 184$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Texas | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Texas A&M | 45c | 143.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texas | 43c | 113.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…3e25backed Texas A&M | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Texas | 48c | 99.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822d…97f6backed Texas A&M | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Texas A&M | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…308bbacked Texas A&M | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Texas | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Texas A&M | 48c | 86.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Texas | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Texas | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Texas A&M | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Texas | 48c | 74.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Texas A&M | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Texas A&M | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde99…416cbacked Texas A&M | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…621cbacked Texas A&M | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Texas | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Texas | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…f7c4backed Texas | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Texas | 49c | 41.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca91…6d49backed Texas | 49c | 40.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Texas A&M | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf63…b05bbacked Texas | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…0a46backed Texas | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Texas A&M | 54c | 37.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Texas A&M | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…3e13backed Texas | 47c | 32.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Texas | 49c | 21.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)this page
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)Texas won
- Texas A&M vs. TexasTexas won
- Texas A&M vs. Texas: O/U 52.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.