College Football · resolved market
Texas A&M vs. Texas: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9988d9882a495423e01bb1d9b78ad7b1cf90cd9dce20cfd17fbde23f2c3187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 52c | 22,605$11,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,716.82 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 15,155$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,880.39 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 15,049$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,056.65 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 55c | 5,965$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.56 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 55c | 5,874$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.81 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 45c | 5,780$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.91 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9607…2d3abacked Over | 55c | 3,650$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 1,120$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 755$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.95 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Over | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 267.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Under | 46c | 231.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d3f2backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…3e25backed Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…d27cbacked Over | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 52c | 56.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…74a9backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…6e14backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Over | 51c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M vs. Texas: O/U 52.5this page
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)Texas won
- Texas A&M vs. TexasTexas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.