College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa47f4a9cf9d6f13137afeae060c0c9d87a2d01d1aa74c779dc949d521d80285f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Texas A&M, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Texas A&M | 46c | 56,940$26,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,103.63 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texas | 54c | 49,152$26,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,610 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texas A&M | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Texas | 56c | 14,480$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.26 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Texas | 55c | 9,905$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.54 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas A&M | 45c | 6,860$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.77 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Texas | 58c | 4,438$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.71 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Texas | 54c | 3,725$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.41 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.8 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas A&M | 46c | 2,625$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.51 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas | 54c | 2,435$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.19 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Texas A&M | 46c | 2,415$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.32 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texas A&M | 44c | 2,334$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.72 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas | 54c | 1,294$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.06 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Texas | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texas A&M | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Texas A&M | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas A&M | 46c | 467$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.82 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Texas | 58c | 346.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Texas A&M | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Texas | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas A&M | 42c | 222.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…e6acbacked Texas A&M | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Texas | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Texas A&M | 43c | 185.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Texas A&M | 45c | 142.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Texas | 55c | 127$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Texas A&M | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eff…8888backed Texas A&M | 45c | 110.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Texas A&M | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas A&M | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Texas | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Texas A&M | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texas | 55c | 94.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Texas A&M | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Texas | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texas | 51c | 76.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…c9a6backed Texas | 60c | 65.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texas | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Texas | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Texas A&M | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texas | 56c | 43.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Texas | 58c | 34.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Texas | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Texas A&M | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Texas | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…a25ebacked Texas | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)this page
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)Texas won
- Texas A&M vs. TexasTexas won
- Texas A&M vs. Texas: O/U 52.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.