TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$564,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$609,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No49c298,343$145,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145,2263951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes51c92,864$47,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,041.497346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0007060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c58,765$12,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,626.291,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes52c29,541$15,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,134.7538043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes50c28,978$14,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4894744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Yes73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd595…b30bbacked Yes53c18,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,867.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20010543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2c…d9c8backed Yes52c9,808$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,707.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3b…a380backed Yes52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…0e8ebacked Yes51c5,495$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8890…5e92backed No49c5,489$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No37c5,297$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.014949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.882744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No47c4,928$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.324540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No27c4,889$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.152832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No28c4,626$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.1838343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed No49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes52c3,691$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.379159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes53c3,350$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c3,111$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.431,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8445…832ebacked Yes52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.382653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0425…9b90backed Yes52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.381963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c2,097$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.5946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c92…b9c9backed No49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4acb…87babacked No49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes73c2,026$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.923256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0c…3d88backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9605646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No32c1,992$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.6113048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No32c1,990$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.7520643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.082751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5264…8352backed Yes53c1,883$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No48c1,854$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.0411649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No48c1,800$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8566443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No48c1,625$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes50c1,603$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.8919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes50c1,554$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7771662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8161…99dabacked Yes52c1,444$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c16…1e6bbacked Yes53c1,436$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes53c1,354$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.0720462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes51c1,250$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes50c1,188$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.241637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes52c1,103$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.7836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes51c1,088$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.468151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes52c1,038$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.465843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3bf…6851backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4909444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.398354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes52c966$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.683458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No16c963.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9220343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick55cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.543943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No49c929.85$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.639643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c28…f8c7backed Yes52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No48c899.99$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42918250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No25c899$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.362532%8 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…0aa3backed No49c870$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb9…41ecbacked No49c850$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381e…3f00backed Yes52c830$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes51c818.24$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.242070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No30c804.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38419755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c85…cb03backed No49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…abc0backed Yes52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…8505backed No48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x663c…1fe9backed Yes52c790$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Yes52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes55c755.15$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.7737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898c…35e0backed No51c725.12$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+75.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f93…442cbacked Yes76c647.52$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…24a9backed Yes50c646.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes52c603.85$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.853135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cea…2c92backed Yes51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked No48c599.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No48c549.84$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.617924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.952850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf73…f3d7backed Yes50c529.46$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.731030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+83.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b1…d774backed No48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04c…8720backed No48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.994045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes51c488.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.464153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.73933.3%13 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes51c448.16$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.865453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes52c431.95$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.452045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No42c426.06$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.538027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Yes52c421.13$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.343842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.