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Champions League · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c18,993$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,471.892,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No77c13,780$10,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.48241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No77c7,190$5,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.822676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes23c4,931$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.265350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked No78c4,487$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.183850%19 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c2,655$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No76c2,250$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54010760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes26c1,957$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012638.1%48 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes22c1,894$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6336851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5977…a4bebacked No77c1,890$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes24c1,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes25c1,625$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a04…ad88backed Yes23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…f2fdbacked Yes23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes10c1,500$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1579046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6563…5025backed No77c1,450$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No77c1,301$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.234656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes23c1,279$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.18433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c1,096$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab6…07eabacked Yes23c851$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981f…d3dabacked No77c708$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes22c700$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17511950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8283…29aebacked Yes24c679.53$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No76c544.97$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…3dabbacked Yes23c540$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9256…e520backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf07f…8a62backed No77c422$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9d…cdffbacked Yes23c415$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9f…f266backed No77c410$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8625…9a90backed Yes23c390$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ab…88f1backed Yes23c388$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17c4…9736backed Yes23c366$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b31…e081backed Yes23c339$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No77c338.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.96955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a44…c9e1backed Yes23c335$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2da…553dbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No77c283.64$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.243253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148a…d483backed No77c277$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes22c268.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0319028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.748151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5ee…e69cbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202825%7 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes23c238.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.025742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9d…ed50backed No77c215$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…60cdbacked No77c213$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked No77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes19c187.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes13c187.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf781…1b71backed No77c179$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes10c169$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2621745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No77c163.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.234949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No77c162.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1116853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea28…1cabbacked No77c156$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d57…d1d0backed No77c153$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c151$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2216546.1%76 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes23c150.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de4…ca53backed No77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e1…d623backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3325859.7%154 W · 104 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa86…7414backed No77c143$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes23c134.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9411036.4%40 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc4…5a7abacked No77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick29cpaid+8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5de…dcebbacked No77c124$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes20c121.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.997140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe24b…a667backed No77c115$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0784…30d1backed No77c111$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No77c102.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7836260.2%218 W · 144 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2215637.8%59 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e18…696fbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No77c90.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.817953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd507…9b56backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+70.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5869…071dbacked No78c85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick69cpaid-61.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa69a…5966backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e53…740ebacked No77c78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.925459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…f191backed Yes25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No78c71.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6512100%12 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes23c68.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7511335.4%40 W · 73 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158339.8%33 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes23c64.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.537343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeead…fcb9backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No79c62.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.995246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes23c56.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes23c56.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.