NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f00c7fc8b8c2d2d1a9c5154b393e86081e45ae1f09ad499a6ff661d0f7de7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof 49ers, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked 49ers | 4c | 39,630$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.56 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed 49ers | 22c | 23,536$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250.34 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed 49ers | 11c | 18,227$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed 49ers | 29c | 8,745$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed 49ers | 5c | 8,428$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.35 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed 49ers | 10c | 8,242$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.58 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed 49ers | 5c | 7,215$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.51 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Packers | 62c | 6,842$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.11 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed 49ers | 15c | 6,758$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 49ers | 11c | 6,708$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.2 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked 49ers | 0c | 6,070$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Packers | 70c | 6,010$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked 49ers | 8c | 5,691$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.1 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Packers | 55c | 5,573$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.06 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed 49ers | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked 49ers | 10c | 5,152$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.74 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Packers | 70c | 4,340$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Packers | 66c | 4,024$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.74 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed 49ers | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed 49ers | 11c | 3,700$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.03 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…58c1backed 49ers | 30c | 3,402$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…7883backed Packers | 73c | 3,386$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed 49ers | 2c | 3,050$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed 49ers | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Packers | 70c | 2,839$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.49 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Packers | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed 49ers | 2c | 2,708$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Packers | 55c | 2,371$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.31 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed 49ers | 42c | 2,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed 49ers | 13c | 2,351$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…ab4cbacked Packers | 72c | 2,348$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a23…d565backed 49ers | 42c | 2,290$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Packers | 70c | 2,231$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed 49ers | 6c | 2,012$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed 49ers | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 49ers | 11c | 1,889$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Packers | 79c | 1,799$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked 49ers | 31c | 1,790$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 49ers | 33c | 1,724$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.37 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked 49ers | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Packers | 72c | 1,700$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.22 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed 49ers | 29c | 1,588$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.39 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed 49ers | 22c | 1,505$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Packers | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Packers | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed 49ers | 29c | 1,340$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked 49ers | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…0df6backed 49ers | 2c | 1,319$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 49ers | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Packers | 79c | 1,268$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Packers | 79c | 1,245$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 49ers | 24c | 1,133$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.69 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked 49ers | 32c | 1,080$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…9957backed 49ers | 16c | 1,002$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed 49ers | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 49ers | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked 49ers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked 49ers | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked 49ers | 20c | 953.32$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed 49ers | 39c | 914.59$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.25 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Packers | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…f6f5backed 49ers | 37c | 796.83$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed 49ers | 8c | 769.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed 49ers | 28c | 750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed 49ers | 5c | 749.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…cd68backed 49ers | 3c | 711.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed 49ers | 37c | 704.19$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.81 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…2f33backed 49ers | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Packers | 59c | 662.71$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed 49ers | 10c | 628.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked 49ers | 19c | 602.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked 49ers | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed 49ers | 18c | 590.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed 49ers | 4c | 506.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed 49ers | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Packers | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed 49ers | 31c | 482.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked 49ers | 11c | 475.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…58c0backed 49ers | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed 49ers | 45c | 432.4$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked 49ers | 3c | 417.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed 49ers | 29c | 414$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…e4dabacked 49ers | 29c | 402.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked 49ers | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed 49ers | 29c | 398.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Packers | 69c | 366.64$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked 49ers | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed 49ers | 14c | 340$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9e29backed 49ers | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed 49ers | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked 49ers | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed 49ers | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked 49ers | 14c | 289.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…ac5abacked 49ers | 11c | 284.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Packers | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed 49ers | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…d80fbacked 49ers | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed 49ers | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…1b32backed 49ers | 24c | 249.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c6…2ef0backed 49ers | 29c | 244.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.