TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2024-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe362…602bbacked No41c4,800$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd54…b332backed Yes59c4,498$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes60c4,000$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd482…355dbacked Yes59c2,656$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86cb…6c6dbacked No41c2,656$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76014659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No41c1,618$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.349037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes62c1,584$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.9129238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58515337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…0c53backed Yes73c1,453$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.61757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes60c1,170$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.043946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.132157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.998145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No33c855.64$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9437841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes62c717.88$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.797651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Yes59c643.54$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.853666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bf…b25ebacked No41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…5d8cbacked Yes61c491.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No44c357$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No38c354.09$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.18362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed No42c346.86$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-58.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes59c271.84$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.453842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No38c267.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.745959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e94…4186backed Yes60c266.63$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes57c259.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes59c237.49$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3711937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b5…56cdbacked Yes60c233.3$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No41c222$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0217143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes60c144.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.935151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No20c142.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1111657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes59c139.66$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2640254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes59c135$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3520447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes60c115.12$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.054742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No39c101$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.399756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda6b…8fc7backed Yes59c98.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd792…4eb1backed No43c98.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3311342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa516…ba32backed No40c76.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc5…9819backed No40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d4…1b9dbacked No41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2d…6758backed Yes59c74.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed No42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b1…6dd8backed Yes60c53.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed No40c52.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.182560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bfd…4ef4backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1829146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4c…9e02backed Yes60c48.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No40c47.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.195742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e5…4e33backed Yes60c43.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07ce…6418backed Yes60c37.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd6…67b0backed No40c37.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fee…dd87backed No40c37.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.594242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ce8…501fbacked No41c36.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…2802backed No41c36.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.861040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e41…43e5backed Yes59c35.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3712…fbc6backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb15…bb43backed No41c33.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4163…6b8cbacked No40c32.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fe…2908backed Yes57c32.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64eb…6237backed Yes59c31.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd629…58cbbacked No45c30.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ff…8018backed Yes60c29.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x765d…23debacked No68c29.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b2…277bbacked No40c28.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb029…51f0backed No41c28.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf4…d258backed No41c27.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78a…2db0backed Yes57c27.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79f1…5bf4backed No43c27.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc4b…32bebacked No40c26.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf449…0fbabacked Yes60c25.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf15d…5142backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a8…8c6dbacked Yes60c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcecd…cdb8backed Yes59c25.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9b…382abacked Yes59c24.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf9…4881backed Yes57c24.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e7…985fbacked No43c24.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097f…3351backed Yes59c23.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.781145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f6…9e72backed Yes58c23.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee7…0288backed Yes59c22.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4f…292dbacked Yes60c21.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4106…d091backed Yes59c21.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Yes59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.341060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e3…254bbacked Yes60c20.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb28…5d96backed Yes60c18.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1add…f75cbacked Yes59c18.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64c6…8f19backed Yes62c17.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6987…0060backed Yes60c17.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.