NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7725d731d9013e359229d4d6c89f54bd6a89081c805843c4393cca41cf5142b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 17c | 11,804$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.94 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Bulls | 21c | 6,567$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.51 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Bulls | 1c | 6,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Celtics | 79c | 5,151$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.92 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 1c | 4,140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Bulls | 24c | 4,016$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.36 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 17c | 4,010$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.69 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Bulls | 5c | 4,010$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…77ebbacked Bulls | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 20c | 2,900$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bulls | 21c | 2,478$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.39 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Bulls | 3c | 2,460$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bulls | 31c | 2,365$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.49 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bulls | 32c | 2,324$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Bulls | 9c | 2,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 19c | 2,016$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bulls | 2c | 1,736$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Bulls | 29c | 1,646$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 7c | 1,558$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Bulls | 17c | 1,420$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Bulls | 16c | 1,413$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Bulls | 6c | 1,338$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 73c | 1,312$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Bulls | 22c | 1,293$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Bulls | 16c | 1,200$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Bulls | 20c | 1,134$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Bulls | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…223cbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,100$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 17c | 1,083$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.26 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bulls | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Bulls | 23c | 939.13$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Celtics | 75c | 929.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Bulls | 31c | 885.1$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.47 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed Bulls | 19c | 855.32$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…fbdfbacked Bulls | 7c | 830$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Bulls | 18c | 802.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Celtics | 68c | 800$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Celtics | 60c | 771.67$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.67 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Bulls | 3c | 750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…1c45backed Bulls | 18c | 747.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bulls | 19c | 644.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Bulls | 15c | 631.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…beeebacked Celtics | 79c | 594.05$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…d2a4backed Bulls | 22c | 594.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…3a32backed Bulls | 41c | 540.36$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Bulls | 42c | 500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…9974backed Bulls | 19c | 482.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Celtics | 57c | 426.38$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Bulls | 18c | 407.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…a90ebacked Bulls | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Bulls | 22c | 357.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bulls | 17c | 333$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa077…9c54backed Bulls | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed Bulls | 17c | 290$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Bulls | 15c | 264$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bulls | 20c | 258.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 19c | 249.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Bulls | 17c | 241.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Bulls | 10c | 233.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Bulls | 13c | 225.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Bulls | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Bulls | 10c | 198.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Celtics | 71c | 198$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 7c | 174.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Bulls | 20c | 172.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 17c | 171.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Bulls | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Celtics | 80c | 154.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed Celtics | 79c | 152.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Celtics | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Celtics | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…121dbacked Bulls | 18c | 137.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Celtics | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Bulls | 22c | 125.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Celtics | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Celtics | 78c | 121.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Bulls | 13c | 118.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…4888backed Bulls | 26c | 112.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…10ccbacked Bulls | 16c | 111.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed Bulls | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 10c | 111.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…aaf5backed Celtics | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Bulls | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Celtics | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Celtics | 77c | 102.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Celtics | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Celtics | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Bulls | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Bulls | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Bulls | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…08c7backed Celtics | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Bulls | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Bulls | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…d75dbacked Bulls | 19c | 99.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Bulls | 16c | 98.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.