TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31cf…8834backed Yes56c9,644$5,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.649037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No44c9,112$4,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,018.0640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…d13ebacked Yes55c6,198$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x959e…0315backed No45c6,198$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb38…ae5fbacked Yes55c5,856$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d1…83eabacked No45c5,692$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No45c3,202$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.9932158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed Yes56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3522035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No43c789.65$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.668362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes54c636.6$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4929643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes58c625.73$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.817651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No43c552$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1411657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.244926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes55c444$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.817143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No17c328.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes56c325.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.662853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No43c292.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9640254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes70c286.56$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.045853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes57c281.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.598937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes56c266.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.22634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes54c250$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.54537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes58c248$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes54c243.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2340046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes56c238.72$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.562330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes56c222.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.864637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc8…951abacked Yes56c218.91$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe200…15d6backed Yes55c217.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe362…602bbacked No45c217.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x166f…c6f4backed Yes56c208.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8b…8d4dbacked No44c179.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes57c175.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.422934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49a…b3d2backed Yes56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d6…dee7backed Yes58c171.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3292…9a8abacked No46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No8c145.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9866031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes58c137$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5420447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7801…422bbacked Yes61c135.38$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.382035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes59c127.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3411342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf244…4cd5backed Yes58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3985…f70ebacked No44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e1…bb47backed Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.141573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x451b…f465backed No44c105.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e94…4186backed Yes49c100.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4429653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4442755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e09…3cb2backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Yes55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1fe…2835backed No52c94.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.382944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32d5…4404backed Yes57c94.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe946…beefbacked Yes56c93.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc037…6f38backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked No45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf847…aa05backed Yes58c82.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.451855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae8…987ebacked No44c79.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No52c70.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8314659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed No51c68.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.742846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…9bb4backed No45c66.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0d…4e43backed No46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2543…4ffbbacked No45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes59c51.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1929146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fb…7c42backed Yes55c50.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe119…dce0backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265726.3%15 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb25f…ddcdbacked Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29fb…7dcbbacked No45c48.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ab5…05d8backed No43c46.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50c…37adbacked No44c46.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…1888backed Yes57c45.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No42c44.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b77…1cbebacked Yes55c43.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked No45c41.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.574454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Yes56c41.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.074447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b6…2fb3backed No43c40.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ad…094dbacked No44c37.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x953c…9034backed No43c37.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a7…ebdfbacked No47c36.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3712…fbc6backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b2…3212backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d2…0d35backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd0…785fbacked Yes57c35.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33ff…1ef4backed No43c35.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…97bcbacked No45c35.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc19…3e4dbacked Yes55c34.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes56c34.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0815554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef8…6583backed Yes56c34.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a02…4136backed Yes56c33.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…a3f7backed Yes56c32.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e1a…193cbacked No44c32.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…ddecbacked No45c31.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.