Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23fe839b59d21d934abe8fa09644570fa56619100e80a3d2eda7c70e445f2911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 80c | 1,813$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.48 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 10c | 796.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 76c | 249.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 21c | 161.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 24c | 139.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 25c | 128.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed No | 75c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed Yes | 25c | 118.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked Yes | 24c | 109.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…a85cbacked Yes | 36c | 99.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 74c | 69.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…6379backed No | 72c | 62.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…8a30backed Yes | 34c | 54.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 66c | 54.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…23debacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-30?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.