NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc019dc596e3fdb08cccdfc2af95d9bb3803c10e6ca5f3a463f4f2508b63b7596

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Raptors, Heat
Resolved: Nov 30, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $87,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $101,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors	5c	6,928$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.41	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Raptors	1c	5,809$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Heat	74c	3,846$2,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.31	85	61.2%52 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Heat	80c	3,515$2,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.82	150	56.7%85 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors	6c	3,155$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.54	656	42.5%279 W · 377 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Raptors	2c	3,124$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.86	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors	26c	3,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3483…cdabbacked Raptors	7c	2,283$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.79	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Heat	76c	2,223$1,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.14	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Raptors	33c	2,020$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.2	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-4.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-37%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Raptors	2c	1,820$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	183	16.9%31 W · 152 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Raptors	26c	1,600$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	235	48.1%113 W · 122 L	-13.9wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors	25c	1,454$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.51	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Raptors	32c	1,351$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.2	367	48.2%177 W · 190 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa586…86f5backed Raptors	5c	1,150$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Raptors	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-10.2wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Raptors	28c	999.98$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.99	162	42%68 W · 94 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Raptors	1c	992.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors	35c	931.25$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.94	498	49.4%246 W · 252 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Heat	65c	931.25$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.94	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Raptors	38c	899.95$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.98	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Raptors	13c	858.67$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	109	21.1%23 W · 86 L	-10.5wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Heat	74c	800$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bb5…f2a5backed Raptors	25c	799.96$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Raptors	27c	750$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors	26c	715.13$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.97	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Raptors	25c	582.92$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.23	152	34.9%53 W · 99 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Raptors	5c	524.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Raptors	27c	496.63$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.09	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Raptors	22c	492.9$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.47	142	33.1%47 W · 95 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat	72c	450$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.5	1,166	54.4%634 W · 532 L	+19.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62f…4888backed Raptors	10c	433.29$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.64	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors	29c	428.97$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.4	291	48.8%142 W · 149 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Raptors	3c	411$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Heat	75c	371.71$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.93	84	69%58 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Heat	60c	358.15$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.26	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat	72c	345.34$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.7	337	52.5%177 W · 160 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Heat	74c	301.01$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.81	196	42.9%84 W · 112 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Raptors	27c	299.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea42…df55backed Raptors	31c	290.76$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat	69c	288.46$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.42	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b2…2bb9backed Heat	72c	278$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.84	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Heat	75c	265.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.78	155	58.7%91 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Raptors	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Raptors	24c	250$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f2…79d0backed Raptors	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Heat	76c	250$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Raptors	27c	249.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors	37c	202.9$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.92	451	35%158 W · 293 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat	71c	200$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	893	53%473 W · 420 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Raptors	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	178	34.8%62 W · 116 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors	33c	187.66$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.74	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors	28c	179.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.28	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Raptors	29c	178.91$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.78	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Heat	74c	170$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	258	51.6%133 W · 125 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Raptors	28c	157.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Raptors	26c	153.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed Heat	74c	153.64$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.95	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Heat	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c7b…a592backed Heat	70c	150$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Heat	60c	148.01$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.47	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Raptors	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b3…eacdbacked Raptors	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8788…dc26backed Heat	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa215…a93ebacked Heat	70c	131$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.53	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Raptors	31c	130$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	239	56.1%134 W · 105 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Heat	72c	125$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	29c	124.95$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.24	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Heat	72c	118.02$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.23	128	41.4%53 W · 75 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Heat	72c	117.48$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Raptors	26c	111.54$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	94	31.9%30 W · 64 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…e4eebacked Heat	69c	110.23$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.17	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Heat	75c	108.27$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.07	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf627…1a8abacked Raptors	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Heat	67c	104.4$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.25	84	60.7%51 W · 33 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe49b…ee95backed Raptors	29c	100.34$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Raptors	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	309	54%167 W · 142 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Raptors	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Heat	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	104	40.4%42 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…d52fbacked Raptors	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Raptors	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f95…3012backed Raptors	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Heat	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	159	42.8%68 W · 91 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Heat	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	100	51%51 W · 49 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fd3…ef31backed Raptors	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Raptors	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Raptors	25c	99.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	774	37.5%290 W · 484 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Raptors	24c	98.97$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	930	41.9%390 W · 540 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa077…9c54backed Raptors	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69eb…1d77backed Heat	75c	93.33$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.33	120	64.2%77 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc5…817ebacked Heat	73c	91.03$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.95	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x118f…9088backed Heat	75c	89.33$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.33	121	65.3%79 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Raptors	21c	88.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	657	26%171 W · 486 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Raptors	23c	88.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0319…ee14backed Heat	75c	86.67$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	117	63.2%74 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ff…1b23backed Heat	72c	84.03$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18ac…15f9backed Heat	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	116	62.1%72 W · 44 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa51b…7c06backed Heat	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	118	63.6%75 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae5d…3553backed Raptors	25c	79.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market