NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ca4d7a63640411b61740360a140cebbd38da5db6088e7970558668c9e51f1b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Lions | 79c | 44,550$35,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,291.67 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Colts | 21c | 36,851$7,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,884.44 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Colts | 13c | 22,935$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.01 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Lions | 75c | 19,975$14,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.75 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colts | 24c | 19,674$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.54 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Colts | 23c | 16,410$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.05 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Lions | 72c | 15,293$11,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.56 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Colts | 1c | 13,400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Colts | 23c | 10,387$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Lions | 77c | 10,000$7,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.99 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Colts | 25c | 9,168$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.11 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Colts | 22c | 7,748$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.92 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…d028backed Lions | 78c | 6,141$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Colts | 25c | 5,608$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lions | 77c | 5,000$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.86 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Colts | 1c | 3,706$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Colts | 22c | 2,986$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.26 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Lions | 76c | 2,948$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.57 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Lions | 77c | 2,662$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.42 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Lions | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Lions | 78c | 2,404$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.39 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…25e4backed Lions | 78c | 2,391$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lions | 75c | 2,144$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.98 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 80c | 2,000$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Colts | 24c | 1,927$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.13 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Lions | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Colts | 23c | 1,438$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.54 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Colts | 25c | 1,391$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.19 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Lions | 75c | 1,327$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.77 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Colts | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Colts | 2c | 1,253$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…9957backed Colts | 24c | 1,147$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Lions | 77c | 1,120$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Colts | 23c | 1,104$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Colts | 23c | 1,100$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…3d4dbacked Lions | 76c | 1,019$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Colts | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Colts | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Lions | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Lions | 72c | 967.41$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.41 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lions | 77c | 842.72$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Colts | 20c | 732.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Colts | 23c | 701.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Lions | 78c | 666.67$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Colts | 31c | 652.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Colts | 23c | 595.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Colts | 21c | 543.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Lions | 77c | 540.4$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colts | 8c | 510.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…8f30backed Lions | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Colts | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Colts | 9c | 429.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Colts | 24c | 416.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lions | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…8c00backed Lions | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Lions | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…4118backed Lions | 78c | 384.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…1b32backed Colts | 21c | 359.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…194abacked Lions | 78c | 358.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…8304backed Colts | 12c | 352.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Lions | 78c | 333.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lions | 77c | 317.52$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lions | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Lions | 77c | 294.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59c…115bbacked Lions | 78c | 291$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…4d96backed Lions | 77c | 290.16$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…e091backed Colts | 24c | 290.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Colts | 27c | 287.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Lions | 78c | 282.49$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Lions | 74c | 276.39$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…0e35backed Colts | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Lions | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Lions | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Colts | 22c | 258.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Lions | 78c | 256.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Lions | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…53fcbacked Lions | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…c3b5backed Lions | 76c | 245.32$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Lions | 78c | 230$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…c556backed Lions | 77c | 225.57$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Lions | 78c | 224.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Lions | 76c | 211$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Colts | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Colts | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Lions | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lions | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Colts | 23c | 195.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Colts | 28c | 176.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Colts | 11c | 174.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…83febacked Colts | 23c | 162.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Colts | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Colts | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed Colts | 22c | 153.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Lions | 77c | 149.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Colts | 22c | 148.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Lions | 77c | 148.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9f…c209backed Lions | 78c | 144.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Lions | 76c | 139.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Colts | 11c | 138$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Lions | 74c | 135.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.