MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2fb20c94d5a0715e85b6a162deac62fc04659674747fd8c7ef4499fe7b986f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 14c | 12,759$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Tigers | 47c | 8,488$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Tigers | 33c | 6,148$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.56 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 57c | 4,241$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.38 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rays | 43c | 4,051$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 42c | 2,970$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers | 57c | 2,900$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tigers | 57c | 2,672$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.04 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rays | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Tigers | 44c | 2,442$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.34 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed Rays | 43c | 2,425$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers | 35c | 2,300$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.55 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 71c | 2,138$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.23 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rays | 43c | 2,135$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.95 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…bdf0backed Tigers | 58c | 2,076$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Tigers | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rays | 30c | 1,949$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.35 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Tigers | 30c | 1,930$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.81 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers | 58c | 1,923$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.34 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…ec44backed Rays | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…0d72backed Rays | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…ca4cbacked Tigers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Tigers | 38c | 1,495$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.71 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 43c | 1,337$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.37 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 2c | 1,332$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 71c | 1,323$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Rays | 60c | 1,307$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.47 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers | 31c | 1,278$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers | 54c | 1,266$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.09 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Tigers | 30c | 1,220$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rays | 43c | 1,165$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.05 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tigers | 2c | 1,139$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…1709backed Tigers | 57c | 1,113$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…de0abacked Tigers | 57c | 1,111$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 5c | 1,106$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Tigers | 8c | 1,011$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Tigers | 37c | 990.19$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Tigers | 57c | 929$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.75 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Rays | 42c | 911.76$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.82 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 13c | 804.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 6c | 778.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 42c | 749.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.96 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers | 30c | 733.1$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Tigers | 58c | 679.31$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Tigers | 49c | 642.03$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Tigers | 32c | 625.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Tigers | 37c | 611.23$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Rays | 59c | 599.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Tigers | 48c | 561$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.41 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 65c | 533.7$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rays | 27c | 500$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rays | 42c | 499.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 43c | 481.27$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.48 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Rays | 43c | 466$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Rays | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Tigers | 76c | 463.93$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Tigers | 35c | 446$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 42c | 427.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Tigers | 57c | 417.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f6eabacked Tigers | 44c | 408.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Tigers | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Tigers | 60c | 394.8$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Tigers | 54c | 379.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays | 71c | 366.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Tigers | 7c | 362.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…478bbacked Tigers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…b168backed Rays | 44c | 350.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 67c | 329.85$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers | 39c | 318.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rays | 67c | 298.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Tigers | 58c | 287.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Rays | 69c | 285.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rays | 44c | 254.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Rays | 64c | 242.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rays | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rays | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Tigers | 56c | 229$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…4bafbacked Tigers | 61c | 228.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 58c | 227.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Tigers | 25c | 219.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Tigers | 60c | 213.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Tigers | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Rays | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Tigers | 31c | 187.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 14c | 186.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Tigers | 29c | 182.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rays | 61c | 175.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…8a1fbacked Tigers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Rays | 43c | 169.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Tigers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 43c | 163$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Rays | 52c | 157.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.