TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof fnatic, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed fnatic54c7,501$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.2516449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lavked48c6,192$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.2784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Lavked47c5,837$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.3716245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked fnatic51c4,996$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.673,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Lavked48c4,515$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.544748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked fnatic52c3,957$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.157948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked44c2,774$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.131,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked40c2,593$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.951,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Lavked46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Lavked45c2,055$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.342,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Lavked22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed fnatic56c1,829$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.3511243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked fnatic55c1,800$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.692,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lavked21c1,788$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.271,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked fnatic57c1,752$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.7620458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lavked45c1,500$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.41,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed fnatic52c1,485$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked47c1,477$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.166,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Lavked44c1,281$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.6152951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…715cbacked fnatic56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic73c1,223$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.647,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed fnatic54c1,201$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6321…9cc8backed Lavked45c1,175$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Lavked34c1,120$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8619030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed fnatic52c1,003$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6531642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lavked45c1,000$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0857641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked52c830.65$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.422,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed fnatic44c732.69$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6578043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic73c668.28$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.781,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Lavked46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed fnatic56c571$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2414955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lavked42c556.18$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.619543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Lavked46c515.37$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0733627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Lavked46c502.17$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23147147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5979…fc4fbacked Lavked43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked fnatic51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24512045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd832…4ab0backed Lavked43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic66c426.88$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.125,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe956…c4e0backed Lavked43c419.51$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.371040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Lavked45c418.4$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked fnatic47c412.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8422534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked54c408.55$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.314,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed fnatic55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6452456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed fnatic56c358.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.041,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Lavked45c343.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.82,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed fnatic80c313.88$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.885072%36 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Lavked44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13226341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked fnatic51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed fnatic72c264.31$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.311,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Lavked41c261.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Lavked42c260$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.261,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked fnatic66c255.31$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.644,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed fnatic45c252.31$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.665,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Lavked45c252.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3124558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lavked51c250$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.351,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic48c229$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.043,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed fnatic70c205.47$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9323072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked fnatic41c201.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4630031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Lavked45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9032844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Lavked45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9037050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed fnatic51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9845244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Lavked46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Lavked14c195.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9114137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked fnatic48c194$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4210950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked55c187$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.071,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed fnatic55c180.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8912954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked fnatic51c168.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6217055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic48c162.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.573,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda0e…8df5backed Lavked20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed fnatic57c158.84$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.843663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed fnatic78c153.27$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.264,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Lavked44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked fnatic51c147.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.983740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed fnatic55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4535344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bd45backed Lavked31c143.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.973842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed fnatic57c118.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.352,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133c…b5abbacked fnatic52c115.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.769240.2%37 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Lavked26c111.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9110725.2%27 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Lavked45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014153.9%76 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Lavked45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb1…eab3backed Lavked46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…a524backed fnatic52c106.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed fnatic55c104$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.85444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked fnatic55c103.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6411636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Lavked60c100.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Lavked44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Lavked20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207735.1%27 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed fnatic49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5128434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x319b…f04ebacked fnatic55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x247b…65a4backed Lavked50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Lavked26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Lavked36c96.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.352,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked fnatic55c96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked fnatic55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9120145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked fnatic55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9125753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Lavked56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.25466.7%36 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lavked45c83.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3338848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed fnatic43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.450050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.