CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe017bec7d108fe75c515178cf44535999d0f9f95af7b93b06acd8460faeeaba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked fnatic | 48c | 5,102$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 55c | 3,238$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.57 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 57c | 1,492$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.88 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Lavked | 53c | 963.73$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.96 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 46c | 924$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Lavked | 40c | 700$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Lavked | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed fnatic | 35c | 471.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.14 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 45c | 471$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked fnatic | 54c | 376.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked fnatic | 33c | 349.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.55 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked fnatic | 48c | 343.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 63c | 333.79$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed fnatic | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 41c | 283.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic | 37c | 269$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 55c | 255.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked fnatic | 37c | 250.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lavked | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed fnatic | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed fnatic | 48c | 229.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 47c | 224$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lavked | 50c | 210.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked fnatic | 49c | 204.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Lavked | 45c | 167.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavked | 43c | 121.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed fnatic | 62c | 112.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…5fafbacked fnatic | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lavked | 19c | 104.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked fnatic | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Lavked | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 41c | 91.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Lavked | 54c | 87.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Lavked | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed fnatic | 31c | 81.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Lavked | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked fnatic | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed fnatic | 33c | 60.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed fnatic | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed fnatic | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Lavked | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 42c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Lavked | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lavked | 69c | 25.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lavked | 47c | 24.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…004cbacked Lavked | 52c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed fnatic | 48c | 21.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 63c | 19.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.