TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0ac…bd45

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT7222.2%16 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+437.6%+$61.03
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Prostejov: Alexander Shevchenko vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+226.4%+$26.7
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Centurion 2: Tuncay Duran vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Heilbronn: Marvin Moeller vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Tyler: Landon Ardila vs Tyler Zinkbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.22
Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Prostejov: Miguel Damas vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+228.8%+$27.52
Centurion 2: Akira Santillan vs Alexander Donskibacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Santos: Murkel Dellien vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Brazzaville: Franco Ribero vs Matyas Cernybacked Matyas Cerny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$12.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$37.68
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs The Last Resort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.64
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$9.18
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$23.48
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$19.13
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$10.6
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs against All authority (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked against All authority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+127%+$27.87
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+248.7%+$58.91
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs InControl (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffsbacked InControl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$31.81
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$10.24
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Lilmix (BO3) - Esplay Elite Gaming Playoffsbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+237.1%+$42.65
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.4%+$3.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+36.2%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.