TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion 2: Akira Santillan vs Alexander Donski

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Donskiof Akira Santillan, Alexander Donski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x710c…78eabacked Akira Santillan2c38,370$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7161,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Alexander Donski35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30056757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Akira Santillan65c1,909$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.146758.2%39 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Akira Santillan66c1,616$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.7452152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Akira Santillan45c1,266$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alexander Donski35c1,173$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.651,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Alexander Donski34c999.97$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9885634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alexander Donski50c999.89$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.229,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Alexander Donski36c891.36$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.6835932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Akira Santillan66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexander Donski49c681.67$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.478,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Alexander Donski70c667.84$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.072,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Akira Santillan43c654.36$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.522,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Alexander Donski34c634.23$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.5858745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Alexander Donski40c624.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.082,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Akira Santillan40c613.99$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.061,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexander Donski30c554.39$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.966,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Alexander Donski47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2654,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Akira Santillan71c495.57$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8678840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Alexander Donski41c470.43$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.263036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Alexander Donski34c449.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.996541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Akira Santillan66c447.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.521,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alexander Donski39c445.83$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.964,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Alexander Donski35c429$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8581047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Akira Santillan65c335.76$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5257842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alexander Donski56c330.58$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.225,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Akira Santillan59c317.64$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Alexander Donski35c309.08$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.91,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Akira Santillan65c301.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.985250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Akira Santillan19c267$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4745235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Alexander Donski43c213.65$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.112,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Akira Santillan65c212$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.83,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Akira Santillan11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Akira Santillan11c173$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0369438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Akira Santillan69c172$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.681,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexander Donski58c170.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.257,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alexander Donski61c166.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.131,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Alexander Donski34c153.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Alexander Donski43c151.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Akira Santillan67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Akira Santillan67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Akira Santillan19c147.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.351,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alexander Donski34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.065,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Akira Santillan71c143.66$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6829241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Akira Santillan66c138.66$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.467,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Alexander Donski34c130$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.823247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Akira Santillan11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111141.4%46 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Akira Santillan40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Akira Santillan11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1139941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Akira Santillan31c95.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4633352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Alexander Donski58c84.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.481,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Akira Santillan65c82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.330554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Alexander Donski62c80.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.676767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alexander Donski65c79.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.566,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked Akira Santillan44c73.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.025232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Akira Santillan41c67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4748235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Akira Santillan38c57.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7728055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Akira Santillan35c57.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alexander Donski34c55.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.932,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Alexander Donski61c55.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.741,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Akira Santillan56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0159253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alexander Donski34c54.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.011,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Akira Santillan51c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5473748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alexander Donski33c52.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Akira Santillan29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6934729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Alexander Donski65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Alexander Donski45c48.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.722,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alexander Donski68c47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.152,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bd45backed Akira Santillan23c46.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.777222.2%16 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Akira Santillan64c45.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.594,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Akira Santillan66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Akira Santillan66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Akira Santillan66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Akira Santillan71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Alexander Donski39c41.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.081,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alexander Donski50c37.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.563,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alexander Donski55c36.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.698,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Alexander Donski34c32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1239443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Akira Santillan37c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1423427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Akira Santillan64c26.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Akira Santillan52c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.592,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Akira Santillan66c23.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7775262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Akira Santillan53c19.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Alexander Donski74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9444051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Akira Santillan66c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.567261.1%44 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.