Tennis · resolved market
Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7414cf0fa6050b3d58590921d82e7f00db45031cd7ae82d255ba9cca9ee4ad17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Cecchinatoof Valentin Royer, Marco Cecchinato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Valentin Royer | 9c | 7,100$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.99 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valentin Royer | 35c | 3,393$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…dda9backed Marco Cecchinato | 63c | 2,508$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.1 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Marco Cecchinato | 33c | 2,410$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.61 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Valentin Royer | 67c | 1,866$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.22 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marco Cecchinato | 25c | 1,363$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Valentin Royer | 66c | 1,239$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.78 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Marco Cecchinato | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marco Cecchinato | 34c | 965.79$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.42 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 930.89$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marco Cecchinato | 62c | 840.55$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Valentin Royer | 12c | 739.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Valentin Royer | 21c | 572.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marco Cecchinato | 80c | 561.42$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Marco Cecchinato | 34c | 493.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.74 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Valentin Royer | 4c | 486.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Marco Cecchinato | 21c | 471.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.43 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Valentin Royer | 20c | 458.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Valentin Royer | 67c | 441.18$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.59 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marco Cecchinato | 30c | 417.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.25 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Valentin Royer | 29c | 409.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Valentin Royer | 39c | 383.41$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marco Cecchinato | 33c | 333.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.23 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Valentin Royer | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Valentin Royer | 33c | 309.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Valentin Royer | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Valentin Royer | 68c | 294$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Marco Cecchinato | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…4d49backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marco Cecchinato | 41c | 245.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentin Royer | 38c | 236.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Valentin Royer | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Marco Cecchinato | 33c | 198$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Marco Cecchinato | 53c | 185.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Marco Cecchinato | 56c | 159.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Valentin Royer | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marco Cecchinato | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…4778backed Valentin Royer | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Valentin Royer | 67c | 149.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valentin Royer | 16c | 137.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Valentin Royer | 39c | 125.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Valentin Royer | 46c | 109.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Valentin Royer | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Valentin Royer | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Valentin Royer | 29c | 98.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Valentin Royer | 66c | 84.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed Valentin Royer | 16c | 79.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Valentin Royer | 19c | 79.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Valentin Royer | 67c | 75.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Marco Cecchinato | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Valentin Royer | 41c | 72.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Valentin Royer | 67c | 71.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Valentin Royer | 32c | 69.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Marco Cecchinato | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…e183backed Valentin Royer | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Marco Cecchinato | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Marco Cecchinato | 33c | 54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…4eb4backed Valentin Royer | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Marco Cecchinato | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Valentin Royer | 23c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Valentin Royer | 57c | 45.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Marco Cecchinato | 33c | 45.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…128abacked Valentin Royer | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Marco Cecchinato | 29c | 42.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Marco Cecchinato | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Valentin Royer | 38c | 35.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Marco Cecchinato | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Marco Cecchinato | 54c | 30.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Valentin Royer | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Valentin Royer | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Marco Cecchinato | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Valentin Royer | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Marco Cecchinato | 80c | 26.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Valentin Royer | 67c | 26.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Valentin Royer | 66c | 25.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Valentin Royer | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Valentin Royer | 67c | 14.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.