MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8999c972711a4d9a9d8bf9e33c79fc01f89378cad3111b6a7c34b709be6ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Kansas City Royals, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 16,922$8,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,634.71 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 13,564$9,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.42 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 13,031$7,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,042.76 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 9,996$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.94 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 9,699$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.62 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…373bbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 8,855$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 8,681$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.98 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 7,654$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.87 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 6,668$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.67 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 6,111$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.12 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 6,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 5,628$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 5,488$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 5,320$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.84 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…88e7backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 5,174$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 4,122$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,352$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.53 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 3,342$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 3,223$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.64 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,155$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.82 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,978$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.13 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,909$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.45 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,419$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.26 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 2,258$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,154$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,125$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.43 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 2,082$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.07 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,004$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.01 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,986$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.77 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 1,947$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.39 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,893$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.29 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,751$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.27 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,300$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 1,242$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,105$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.55 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,029$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,005$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.44 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Kansas City Royals | 7c | 944.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 897.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 781.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 764.34$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.46 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Kansas City Royals | 9c | 748.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 739.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 719.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.53 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 683.85$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 656.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 653.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 646.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 643.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 598.3$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.12 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 596.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 574.72$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 551.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 540.4$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 521.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 521.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kansas City Royals | 10c | 520.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 487.27$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 451.07$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 440.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 435.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 424.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 421.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 396.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 381.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 375.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 329.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 312.05$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 310.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 272.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 270.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 260.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 247.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 242.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Kansas City Royals | 7c | 240.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Kansas City Royals | 13c | 239.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 239.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…2c87backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 237.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 233.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 229.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 17c | 218.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Kansas City Royals | 15c | 218.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 216.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 214.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 212$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 203.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 201.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.