MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4272b6ffb508ce6f0abdf72cb7dc25ba5f885057c7f5e29507047535f53905a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 43c | 58,837$25,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,537.1 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 13,499$7,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577.84 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 57c | 5,424$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.05 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 66c | 3,986$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.67 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 3,205$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 42c | 2,672$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.54 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 2,656$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 56c | 1,563$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.4 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 42c | 1,386$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.02 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.04 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 34c | 1,008$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 985.53$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 58c | 843.95$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.32 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 42c | 827.14$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.74 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 43c | 789.69$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 57c | 750$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 61c | 711.02$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.45 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 699.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 43c | 658.07$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.1 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 643.51$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.37 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 44c | 643.51$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.37 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 58c | 586.83$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.36 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 57c | 573$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 43c | 571.18$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.47 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…010cbacked Over | 43c | 550.38$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Under | 57c | 508.47$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 57c | 450.8$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.19 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 58c | 414.83$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 58c | 405.16$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 59c | 390.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Over | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 44c | 324.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 312.78$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 59c | 276.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 42c | 264.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 46c | 261.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 58c | 257.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 43c | 243.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 58c | 237.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 43c | 237.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 43c | 234.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 61c | 233.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 44c | 228.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Under | 31c | 199.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 44c | 198.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under | 30c | 188.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Under | 37c | 170.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 57c | 161.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 152.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 61c | 139.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 139.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Under | 56c | 137.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 58c | 132.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 131.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 115.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 37c | 114$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 42c | 111.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 38c | 89.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 85.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Under | 58c | 83.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 64c | 82.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 73.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 44c | 66.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 57c | 64.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 48c | 59.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 57c | 58.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…ff82backed Over | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 57.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 57c | 55.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Over | 44c | 52.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 42c | 52.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 44c | 51.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 58c | 49.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…e7d1backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 56c | 44.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 44c | 42.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 42c | 41.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Under | 56c | 41.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 56c | 41.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.