CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f164a0b55ab6ad6cc4a60a26dd891234f14dc46648296706a21cc2a45944b65

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sharksof Sharks, BET-M 33
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,197 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8668…7f8fbacked Sharks	39c	2,071$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,267.46	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-9.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Sharks	34c	1,510$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.01	202	49%99 W · 103 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BET-M 33	50c	1,347$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.87	4,275	49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L	+64.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed BET-M 33	46c	1,224$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.14	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sharks	53c	1,084$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.54	5,194	55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L	+131.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BET-M 33	60c	1,067$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.55	3,274	51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L	+91.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sharks	54c	1,037$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.7	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Sharks	54c	915.84$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.48	724	53.7%389 W · 335 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked BET-M 33	51c	777.43$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.49	953	45.8%436 W · 517 L	+19.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Sharks	46c	742.72$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.84	185	36.2%67 W · 118 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Sharks	55c	729.97$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.49	484	37.6%182 W · 302 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+42%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BET-M 33	46c	642.48$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.56	5,954	37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L	+77.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BET-M 33	56c	600$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334	2,606	52.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L	+96.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed BET-M 33	46c	586.95$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BET-M 33	25c	531$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.87	5,466	31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L	-400.1wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33	74c	526.96$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.27	5,707	47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L	+45.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked BET-M 33	51c	506.22$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.71	362	42.8%155 W · 207 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Sharks	50c	503.04$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.52	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked BET-M 33	50c	502.15$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.05	583	43.6%254 W · 329 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Sharks	55c	485$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.25	298	58.4%174 W · 124 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed BET-M 33	47c	430$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed BET-M 33	49c	410$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.13	216	47.2%102 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Sharks	54c	369.57$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.83	2,071	54%1,119 W · 952 L	+14.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Sharks	51c	321.73$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.65	797	52.7%420 W · 377 L	+27.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb86f…da81backed BET-M 33	45c	292.67$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.7	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BET-M 33	46c	286.52$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.8	641	42%269 W · 372 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked BET-M 33	45c	275.62$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.68	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Sharks	64c	257.14$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.14	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed BET-M 33	46c	250$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	508	41.3%210 W · 298 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33	75c	250$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.5	8,133	50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L	+169.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sharks	50c	245.94$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.49	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked BET-M 33	53c	200$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	275	48%132 W · 143 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33	67c	196.54$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.68	4,165	50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L	+70.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed BET-M 33	45c	193.19$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.94	157	56.1%88 W · 69 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Sharks	49c	165.93$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.04	187	52.4%98 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Sharks	26c	160$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.4	2,561	43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L	+42.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Sharks	65c	155$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.79	301	53.8%162 W · 139 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BET-M 33	50c	143.13$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.57	282	48.9%138 W · 144 L	+21.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed BET-M 33	46c	142.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.55	98	50%49 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 33	38c	142.13$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.59	5,183	37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L	-274.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BET-M 33	57c	141.06$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.46	1,398	48.4%676 W · 722 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Sharks	53c	140$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.8	341	58.4%199 W · 142 L	+22.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BET-M 33	45c	121$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.91	3,375	45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L	-84.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks	57c	114.21$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.48	6,540	42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L	-81.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed BET-M 33	34c	108$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	1,554	33.9%527 W · 1,027 L	-73.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed BET-M 33	49c	105.81$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1,710	53.2%909 W · 801 L	+65.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked BET-M 33	50c	101.84$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.92	1,713	52.2%895 W · 818 L	-75.1wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ed…687ebacked Sharks	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed BET-M 33	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,629	29.8%485 W · 1,144 L	-90.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed BET-M 33	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	332	41.6%138 W · 194 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44f…a3a8backed Sharks	32c	93.66$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.66	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked BET-M 33	45c	92.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.62	475	47.6%226 W · 249 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked BET-M 33	65c	91.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked BET-M 33	46c	90$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed BET-M 33	60c	88$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	196	55.1%108 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Sharks	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	316	50.9%161 W · 155 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sharks	49c	86.89$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.19	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Sharks	35c	84.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.31	892	48%428 W · 464 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7e…d68fbacked Sharks	51c	82.35$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.35	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks	56c	71$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.24	2,829	37.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L	-138.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BET-M 33	51c	68.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	762	48.4%369 W · 393 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Sharks	55c	68$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bd45backed BET-M 33	18c	66.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed BET-M 33	52c	64.79$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.39	160	46.9%75 W · 85 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked BET-M 33	56c	64.5$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb45…0c68backed BET-M 33	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed BET-M 33	54c	55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	579	35.1%203 W · 376 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Sharks	32c	54.27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	707	32.1%227 W · 480 L	-45.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sharks	54c	52.04$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	2,697	52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L	+30.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b8e…ea9dbacked Sharks	79c	41$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Sharks	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	387	53.2%206 W · 181 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed BET-M 33	75c	37.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.13	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-14.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked BET-M 33	59c	37$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.68	406	52.2%212 W · 194 L	+22.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked BET-M 33	47c	35.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	956	42.6%407 W · 549 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed Sharks	76c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	73cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sharks	41c	28.57$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed BET-M 33	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	368	45.9%169 W · 199 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked BET-M 33	73c	27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Sharks	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	213	43.7%93 W · 120 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Sharks	46c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	-12.0wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Sharks	49c	23.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.84	676	51.8%350 W · 326 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe99a…e3c6backed BET-M 33	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed BET-M 33	69c	18.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.59	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked BET-M 33	79c	17.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	137	53.3%73 W · 64 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 WinnerBET-M 33 won
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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