MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69080019e73190df7125df41d75f2d9106edaa7c60ad805d8ad26be7402f350a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets | 47c | 60,178$28,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,408.18 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked New York Mets | 58c | 49,923$28,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,948.4 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 53c | 47,793$25,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,527.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 42c | 26,400$11,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,312 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Mets | 56c | 16,816$9,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,415.05 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 42c | 12,472$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,233.93 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletics | 42c | 8,288$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.25 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics | 57c | 6,361$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.89 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 58c | 5,849$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.3 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 54c | 5,754$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Athletics | 53c | 5,486$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Athletics | 42c | 4,829$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.81 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed New York Mets | 59c | 3,767$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.16 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 54c | 3,432$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.57 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Athletics | 43c | 3,268$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.94 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 38c | 3,035$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.9 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Athletics | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 43c | 2,801$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.47 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 58c | 2,481$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.19 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Athletics | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.08 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Athletics | 42c | 2,339$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.43 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,336$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.97 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed New York Mets | 16c | 2,015$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Athletics | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,897$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Athletics | 54c | 1,849$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.69 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,673$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.57 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 50c | 1,621$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 54c | 1,585$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.04 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed New York Mets | 23c | 1,296$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,264$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.59 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Athletics | 73c | 1,165$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.52 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,150$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.15 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,089$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.95 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Athletics | 64c | 1,078$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.66 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 51c | 1,047$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.25 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 43c | 997.87$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.38 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Athletics | 38c | 988.26$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.77 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 56c | 961.57$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.62 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 62c | 876.19$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed New York Mets | 33c | 867.19$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 50c | 818.48$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed New York Mets | 37c | 774.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 54c | 772.89$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.87 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Athletics | 42c | 736.44$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.26 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Mets | 52c | 696.91$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.72 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 55c | 619$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Mets | 63c | 592.77$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Athletics | 42c | 586.6$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.27 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Athletics | 42c | 574.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.22 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Athletics | 46c | 571.31$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.73 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Athletics | 66c | 545.38$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed New York Mets | 42c | 473.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Athletics | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 43c | 420.81$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Athletics | 48c | 405.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Athletics | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked New York Mets | 51c | 399.83$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked New York Mets | 44c | 378.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed New York Mets | 5c | 377.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked New York Mets | 46c | 361.41$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed New York Mets | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Mets | 47c | 353.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Mets | 53c | 352$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed New York Mets | 47c | 350.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed New York Mets | 57c | 345.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Athletics | 65c | 344.49$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Athletics | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked New York Mets | 12c | 315.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New York Mets | 54c | 301.44$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked New York Mets | 44c | 286$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Athletics | 44c | 263.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked New York Mets | 45c | 261.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 53c | 256.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Athletics | 60c | 252.95$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Athletics | 42c | 248.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 43c | 244.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Athletics | 42c | 231.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Athletics | 62c | 222.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Athletics | 52c | 214.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked New York Mets | 57c | 210.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed New York Mets | 18c | 209.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…d942backed New York Mets | 47c | 202.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 41c | 200.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics | 42c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Athletics | 43c | 199.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Athletics | 40c | 198.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Athletics | 55c | 197.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 39c | 190.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254d…550cbacked Athletics | 59c | 165.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Athletics | 68c | 163.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked New York Mets | 57c | 158.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Athletics | 43c | 157.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Athletics | 54c | 152.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. New York Metsthis page
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.