TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over44c199,962$87,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,983.2641149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under56c194,064$108,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,388.368856.8%50 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c7,353$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.4227254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over45c3,385$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.032,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over44c3,308$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.55747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c2,181$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.52,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96019252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9605,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c1,835$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.166,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c1,702$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.611,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5281656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51721538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over48c1,057$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.3610157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over44c1,044$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8661352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,027$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.7568053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.752263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over44c920.5$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.027343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under55c865.44$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0561947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Over48c726.6$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.771816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under52c600.08$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.041675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbdb4…4039backed Under51c600.08$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over48c468$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.645350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under57c256.37$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.241,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Over49c182.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.351060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under51c176.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.733855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c161.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under50c147.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8430844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over44c133.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6714047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under57c130.54$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1335650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under57c105.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.233547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Over47c101.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.92733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under58c65.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7325349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under58c65.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7351555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6327146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6394648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6340554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.636538.5%25 W · 40 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6352449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6339351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6341847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.638045%36 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6345246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.637452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.634461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6315552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6334452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6312250.8%62 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6312656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6313343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6324348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under56c62.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6328646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under74c59.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.364,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1620955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c53.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9529450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under67c51.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.95,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over33c49.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2255464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over43c45.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under55c44.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Under57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3712864.1%82 W · 46 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Over48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.384235.7%15 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over45c38.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4118751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe291…9806backed Under57c38.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6519248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Under57c37.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.925657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over48c36.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3267453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a66…a5d7backed Under56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.320950.2%105 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under53c34.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2221153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Under57c33.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Under56c33.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.694542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Over48c32.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over39c31.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under56c29.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7915045.3%68 W · 82 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0428352.3%148 W · 135 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over47c26.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under56c25.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3286653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd5…8aeabacked Under75c18.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.