TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Rangersof Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$434,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Texas Rangers47c130,032$61,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,917.1550153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners53c114,237$60,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,403.3441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners53c50,632$26,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,659.8377053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Texas Rangers48c40,537$19,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,079.1838148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Texas Rangers51c20,736$10,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,142.2721656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Seattle Mariners53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,95015148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Texas Rangers46c13,488$6,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,283.7755053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda1c…197dbacked Seattle Mariners0c12,710$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.716852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Seattle Mariners51c11,506$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,822.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers47c10,185$4,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,446.251,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Rangers46c10,034$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,415.771,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Seattle Mariners53c9,300$4,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,929.072646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners54c7,999$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,343.411,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Seattle Mariners61c7,895$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,850.7751756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers49c7,568$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.4710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers48c6,625$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.176,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Seattle Mariners52c5,353$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.3918860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Seattle Mariners10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9911146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Seattle Mariners54c4,862$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.487048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Seattle Mariners47c4,183$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.119255.4%51 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Texas Rangers49c4,056$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.6131039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Seattle Mariners48c3,810$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.152744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers56c3,524$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.851,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers52c3,434$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.551,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners5c3,320$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.681,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Seattle Mariners54c3,207$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.918247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Texas Rangers47c3,090$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.716947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Seattle Mariners53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59013349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners34c2,982$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.492,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Mariners3c2,639$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.348339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Texas Rangers49c2,473$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.217350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Seattle Mariners54c2,392$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.7413254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc510…629abacked Seattle Mariners47c2,275$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.845754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Mariners3c2,268$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7685135.8%305 W · 546 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Seattle Mariners55c2,176$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.7916547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners54c2,011$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.6433852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers54c2,000$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.529,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Mariners53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Texas Rangers40c1,928$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.813534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Texas Rangers47c1,854$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.6214156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners55c1,769$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97326245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Seattle Mariners55c1,745$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.74434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Texas Rangers48c1,638$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.6831149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Texas Rangers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8258151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Seattle Mariners53c1,442$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.012,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners52c1,312$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.821,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Texas Rangers46c1,296$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.467849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Seattle Mariners51c1,274$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.6725349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Seattle Mariners51c1,274$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.831,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Seattle Mariners50c1,230$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.2734452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners52c1,109$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.861,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Seattle Mariners52c1,073$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.791,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Seattle Mariners52c1,062$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.3539351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners22c1,026$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.571,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Seattle Mariners53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Seattle Mariners53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5304434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Texas Rangers45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Texas Rangers47c995$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.351741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners6c976.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.611,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Texas Rangers40c964$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.454152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Seattle Mariners53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.922753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Texas Rangers47c878.16$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.424656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners3c834.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.170735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers49c787.9$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.485,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Seattle Mariners53c704.17$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2112449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Seattle Mariners53c692.38$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.962138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e4f…628ebacked Seattle Mariners53c686.95$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers46c644.5$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.855,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers52c607$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.361,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Texas Rangers46c600$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.4317448.9%85 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners52c593.22$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.851,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Texas Rangers46c580.56$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers46c560$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.41,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners18c559.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.666,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Seattle Mariners53c553.61$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4824348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers64c542.46$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.748,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Seattle Mariners54c528.99$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6512154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners48c526.95$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Texas Rangers46c525.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9720848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Texas Rangers46c525.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9732742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Texas Rangers49c522.29$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.376253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Seattle Mariners52c503.36$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.756653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners53c485.9$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5341152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Seattle Mariners51c466.66$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.791952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers46c463.31$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1961947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Texas Rangers47c451.14$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.11668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Texas Rangers76c437.03$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.969431.9%30 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Seattle Mariners11c430.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3326747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers50c422.34$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.882,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Seattle Mariners52c391.2$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1315847.5%75 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Seattle Mariners35c373.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5988046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Seattle Mariners53c366.84$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3694648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Mariners54c364.65$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9166448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Seattle Mariners54c361.73$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3412257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners52c343.03$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.066,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Seattle Mariners53c338.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6713549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Seattle Mariners52c336.5$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.26267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Texas Rangers58c321.17$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6610847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Seattle Mariners54c319.49$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5226056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Texas Rangers48c302.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.431,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.