Tennis · resolved market
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe812238eaf158b5ac8bb9f7db9c84e3848d8919546684f106a93eb4151c86aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sho Shimabukuroof Sho Shimabukuro, Shintaro Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 17,163$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,409.73 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Sho Shimabukuro | 51c | 15,211$7,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.22 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 5,982$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 5,114$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.05 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 4,391$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 3,048$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.77 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 2,963$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.88 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Sho Shimabukuro | 52c | 2,407$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.76 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 2,382$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.29 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 2,152$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.63 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 72c | 1,478$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.22 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Sho Shimabukuro | 51c | 1,471$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 1,408$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sho Shimabukuro | 53c | 1,144$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.68 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 1,078$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.46 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Sho Shimabukuro | 58c | 1,061$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.02 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 796.06$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.97 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…b263backed Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 795.61$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sho Shimabukuro | 49c | 718.36$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.57 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 32c | 666$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sho Shimabukuro | 41c | 609$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.67 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 44c | 597.78$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 478.47$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 78c | 477.42$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Sho Shimabukuro | 51c | 460$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 446.86$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb40…68b6backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 438.36$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 415.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 71c | 378.8$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.18 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sho Shimabukuro | 52c | 377.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 333.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 326$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 63c | 311.61$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Sho Shimabukuro | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 294.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 282.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.97 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 71c | 280.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Sho Shimabukuro | 53c | 272$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 269$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 264.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 261$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…6e00backed Sho Shimabukuro | 71c | 239.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Sho Shimabukuro | 48c | 230.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 229.52$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sho Shimabukuro | 51c | 212.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 212.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 25c | 209.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 199.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sho Shimabukuro | 51c | 198.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 194.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 45c | 194$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 192.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Sho Shimabukuro | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…dfa9backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 29c | 188.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 175.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 174.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 166.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Sho Shimabukuro | 41c | 166.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 51c | 162$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 53c | 158$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 157$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 64c | 151.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 26c | 151$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 145.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a38bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 77c | 145.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 46c | 144.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sho Shimabukuro | 51c | 143.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 50c | 141.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 11c | 137.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…3829backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 134.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 70c | 129.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Sho Shimabukuro | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 11c | 121.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 120.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 63c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 110.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 27c | 109.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 108.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Sho Shimabukuro | 35c | 101$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizukithis page
- Sho Shimabukuro vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.