MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x643cc0e4df481450184cc5e7bb7e5e532087c6444b55ea1fdb9435bc0fac0293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 27,264$14,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,004.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 19,929$9,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,163.95 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 13,275$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,903.22 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 13,063$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,639.95 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 10,215$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.9 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2e…f453backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 10,149$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,373.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 10c | 10,105$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.97 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.32 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 8,977$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.17 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 8,804$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.24 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 4,934$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.24 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 4,806$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.37 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 4,294$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 4,261$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,805$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.78 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,736$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.48 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,323$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.18 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,216$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.21 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,210$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.4 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 2,043$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.05 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,931$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.06 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,852$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.79 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,567$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 1,457$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.54 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,308$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.85 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,186$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.65 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,090$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 1,048$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.53 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 934.09$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.39 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 868.05$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 859.26$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 837.36$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 777.22$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 762.22$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.15 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 722.2$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 680.31$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 615.29$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.8 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 563$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.13 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 529.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 489.3$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 458.82$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 450.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 448$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 434.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 409.67$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 402.3$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 394.65$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 9c | 345.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 338.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 320.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 301$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 285.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 279.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…c9b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 270.12$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 256.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 245.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 243.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 239.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 232.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 207.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 199.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 196.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…5104backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 191.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 188$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 184.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 180.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 178.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 176.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 176.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 174.52$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 168.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 146.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 146.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 143.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 139.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 137$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…761fbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 117.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 114.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 111.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 104.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.