TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c8,723$4,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.111,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c8,331$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.341,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No33c8,283$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.234940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c3,909$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No57c3,895$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.5319055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Yes69c2,200$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed No59c1,893$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c1,780$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.8162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes43c1,688$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.8811355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes67c1,465$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.8337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No55c1,370$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.428447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes42c1,227$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.8917329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No55c1,086$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.249140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001163.6%7 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.42per pick22cpaid+183%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf957…d5a6backed Yes22c900.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a93…5804backed Yes17c823.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c683$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.6223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c499.87$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes43c395.89$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No55c363.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.712347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c357.05$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24d…3ab5backed Yes73c351.59$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes44c309.65$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No12c303.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.252937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes40c300.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.332737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes43c298.6$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No58c289.46$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.982250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c285.88$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe243…785abacked Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes43c284.1$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.947926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes45c268.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.289858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No34c250.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.029535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes40c249.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No38c223.9$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.164742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes67c215.1$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9833938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11410838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No30c184.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes41c170.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.736648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes43c162.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.137252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes43c152.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32a2…505cbacked Yes47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No30c135.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9812343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c117$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4215071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed No34c116.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.571435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked No56c100.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.12846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…7f75backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No54c99.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.983946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No54c99.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.987051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No20c98.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8414337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No45c79.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6518360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No46c78.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.523542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes44c58.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.867540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No55c58.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes42c58.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.853348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes41c48.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x002e…f201backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes39c43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.237146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf2…1a6dbacked Yes47c42.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a71…4f0fbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed No54c38.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No61c38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+54.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No55c36.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9426845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes43c35.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.319767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Yes45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked No43c33.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df0…7eb8backed No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.617746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d54…3226backed Yes75c32.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No59c28.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.944751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…c3d8backed Yes46c26.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf780…9066backed No56c25.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked No55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb417…0fd2backed Yes44c24.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes42c24.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe9…7cb3backed No56c24.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9210643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6889…875dbacked Yes46c23.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked No69c23.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.111030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53a4…7d04backed Yes56c21.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a1…d3cdbacked Yes74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9a…3487backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.