Tennis · resolved market
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81b7fa7afa9179fbc05450e6f6abda6911146f2fb29f8300eddf8b1d1871e559
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Braden Shickof Braden Shick, Aidan Mayo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f2…97a6backed Aidan Mayo | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +4,380.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aidan Mayo | 13c | 5,632$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Aidan Mayo | 4c | 3,100$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Aidan Mayo | 66c | 1,652$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.69 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Aidan Mayo | 28c | 1,252$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.04 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Aidan Mayo | 2c | 1,044$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…590abacked Aidan Mayo | 63c | 874.33$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.73 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Aidan Mayo | 66c | 799.97$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.98 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…6416backed Braden Shick | 75c | 730$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Aidan Mayo | 69c | 720.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aidan Mayo | 55c | 646.2$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.28 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Braden Shick | 78c | 642.56$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Braden Shick | 60c | 623.92$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Braden Shick | 57c | 608.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.24 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Braden Shick | 74c | 586.01$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Aidan Mayo | 56c | 568.28$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.71 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…8bc2backed Aidan Mayo | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Braden Shick | 43c | 467.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Braden Shick | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.24 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Braden Shick | 41c | 427.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.13 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Aidan Mayo | 53c | 345.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Aidan Mayo | 60c | 331.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Braden Shick | 46c | 323.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Aidan Mayo | 20c | 269.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Braden Shick | 39c | 210$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aidan Mayo | 25c | 207.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Braden Shick | 67c | 206.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Braden Shick | 35c | 197.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Braden Shick | 46c | 190.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Braden Shick | 50c | 188.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Braden Shick | 21c | 184.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Braden Shick | 45c | 174.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…4a59backed Braden Shick | 41c | 173.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Aidan Mayo | 60c | 157.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Braden Shick | 54c | 156.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Aidan Mayo | 57c | 152.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…5d6cbacked Aidan Mayo | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Aidan Mayo | 40c | 142.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Aidan Mayo | 57c | 140.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…3484backed Braden Shick | 72c | 127.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Braden Shick | 36c | 126.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Aidan Mayo | 9c | 125.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Braden Shick | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Braden Shick | 39c | 116.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aidan Mayo | 60c | 114.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Braden Shick | 39c | 104.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Braden Shick | 40c | 102.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Braden Shick | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Braden Shick | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Aidan Mayo | 38c | 93.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…2899backed Braden Shick | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Braden Shick | 46c | 66.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Aidan Mayo | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Aidan Mayo | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Braden Shick | 63c | 49.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed Aidan Mayo | 23c | 48.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Braden Shick | 47c | 48.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Aidan Mayo | 25c | 47.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…8dadbacked Braden Shick | 62c | 47.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Braden Shick | 51c | 47.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Aidan Mayo | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Aidan Mayo | 38c | 45.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Aidan Mayo | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Braden Shick | 41c | 38.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Aidan Mayo | 44c | 34.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…6c3dbacked Aidan Mayo | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Aidan Mayo | 59c | 31.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Braden Shick | 34c | 30.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Braden Shick | 41c | 30.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Aidan Mayo | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Aidan Mayo | 60c | 28.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed Braden Shick | 76c | 25.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Aidan Mayo | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Aidan Mayo | 49c | 24.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe510…3535backed Braden Shick | 63c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 114 | 73.7%84 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…ba21backed Braden Shick | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Aidan Mayo | 62c | 17.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 83 | 71.1%59 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.