TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a1e…8dad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancacciobacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.21
Tyler: Masamichi Imamura vs Colton Smithbacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.6
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayobacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$18.04
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Polingbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertolabacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.51
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkovabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.76
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovicbacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Tyler: Yuta Shimizu vs Dane Sweenybacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.4
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilaganbacked Enzo Aguiard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayobacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.18
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.1
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.05
Valencia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez Varonabacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.21
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$11.49
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.64
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked YFT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.21
Valorant: M80 vs QoR - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.1
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.18
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.16
Valorant: Division One vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.16
Valorant: Insomnia vs Fennel - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fennel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$17.71
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.1
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.06
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$70.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.82
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Mi New Yorkbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.