Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs QoR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67b9f337bd60c5896a0db8fd63c5b8c0a4ad554a3a0f6daa76c306ee1704da82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, QoR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed M80 | 75c | 2,001$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.31 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QoR | 27c | 1,152$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed QoR | 26c | 1,037$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked QoR | 10c | 964.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QoR | 27c | 498.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked M80 | 73c | 246.77$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb319…7130backed M80 | 61c | 243.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 75c | 237.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed M80 | 61c | 163.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed QoR | 40c | 124.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed M80 | 75c | 106.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed QoR | 40c | 91.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked QoR | 28c | 80.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed M80 | 80c | 71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed QoR | 38c | 61.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked QoR | 30c | 48.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…8dadbacked M80 | 70c | 43.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked M80 | 57c | 42.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked QoR | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…74d3backed M80 | 75c | 39.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 70c | 25.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked M80 | 76c | 24.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked M80 | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed M80 | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked M80 | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked M80 | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked M80 | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked M80 | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs QoR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs QoR (+1.5)M80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs QoR - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.