Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e23f8b4dc28e98175cfd4735f7b1dda6972b59f05d668fbea4c1d0c919c952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, QoR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed M80 | 77c | 20,226$15,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.33 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed QoR | 22c | 5,717$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.75 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QoR | 22c | 4,022$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.41 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked QoR | 22c | 3,900$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.71 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed QoR | 21c | 1,977$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.02 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked QoR | 25c | 1,670$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked QoR | 26c | 1,239$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked M80 | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QoR | 18c | 520.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed QoR | 24c | 492.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed QoR | 23c | 449$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed QoR | 23c | 440.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed QoR | 10c | 423.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed QoR | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…500cbacked QoR | 25c | 352.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed QoR | 17c | 330.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked QoR | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed QoR | 17c | 268.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked QoR | 10c | 248.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked M80 | 73c | 182.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 79c | 181.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QoR | 11c | 176.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked QoR | 26c | 173.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed QoR | 27c | 170.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed M80 | 76c | 166.03$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed QoR | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…706dbacked QoR | 25c | 158.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked QoR | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed QoR | 25c | 132.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked QoR | 25c | 98.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked M80 | 75c | 85.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed M80 | 74c | 79.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked QoR | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked M80 | 74c | 74.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed QoR | 25c | 66.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked QoR | 20c | 65.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed M80 | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed QoR | 23c | 57.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed QoR | 24c | 56.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed QoR | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked M80 | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 79c | 41.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdf…30c1backed QoR | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed M80 | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked M80 | 73c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked M80 | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…c736backed M80 | 79c | 13.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs QoR (+1.5)M80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs QoR - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs QoR - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.