Tennis · resolved market
Tyler: Yuta Shimizu vs Dane Sweeny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb69559ff93be8c7982bc05ec1a6ab437412d697390d004da6ee1d4aaf950f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuta Shimizuof Yuta Shimizu, Dane Sweeny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dane Sweeny | 39c | 4,163$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Dane Sweeny | 8c | 3,333$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.32 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuta Shimizu | 71c | 1,928$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yuta Shimizu | 64c | 1,860$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.35 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yuta Shimizu | 50c | 1,747$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.15 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yuta Shimizu | 70c | 1,395$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.12 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Dane Sweeny | 9c | 1,276$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuta Shimizu | 74c | 1,255$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 1,063$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.97 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 1,063$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.97 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yuta Shimizu | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yuta Shimizu | 74c | 999.95$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…50cdbacked Yuta Shimizu | 59c | 901.36$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.57 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Dane Sweeny | 29c | 831.45$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Yuta Shimizu | 44c | 738.71$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.21 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Yuta Shimizu | 73c | 701.06$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Dane Sweeny | 22c | 656.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Dane Sweeny | 32c | 638.44$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dane Sweeny | 55c | 602.01$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.02 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yuta Shimizu | 44c | 571.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.18 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Dane Sweeny | 2c | 563.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 539.16$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Dane Sweeny | 26c | 529.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 525.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 517.24$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yuta Shimizu | 71c | 515.97$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yuta Shimizu | 64c | 468.72$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Yuta Shimizu | 71c | 460.15$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yuta Shimizu | 76c | 458.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Dane Sweeny | 37c | 434.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Yuta Shimizu | 57c | 415.79$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yuta Shimizu | 44c | 379.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Dane Sweeny | 26c | 368.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Dane Sweeny | 56c | 324$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Dane Sweeny | 43c | 321.8$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Dane Sweeny | 34c | 317$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Dane Sweeny | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 28.1%39 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Dane Sweeny | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yuta Shimizu | 42c | 297$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Yuta Shimizu | 43c | 288.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 284.94$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yuta Shimizu | 42c | 238.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yuta Shimizu | 42c | 237.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dane Sweeny | 56c | 221$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dane Sweeny | 54c | 206.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Dane Sweeny | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 184.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yuta Shimizu | 69c | 162.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yuta Shimizu | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dane Sweeny | 55c | 142$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Dane Sweeny | 22c | 140.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Yuta Shimizu | 80c | 140.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dane Sweeny | 19c | 139.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Yuta Shimizu | 68c | 134.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 44c | 116.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Dane Sweeny | 26c | 113.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Dane Sweeny | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Yuta Shimizu | 59c | 103.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Dane Sweeny | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -10.3wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…ee7ebacked Dane Sweeny | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Dane Sweeny | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yuta Shimizu | 79c | 92.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dane Sweeny | 55c | 92.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dane Sweeny | 29c | 84.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Dane Sweeny | 29c | 84.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Yuta Shimizu | 70c | 76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yuta Shimizu | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yuta Shimizu | 48c | 74.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Dane Sweeny | 55c | 73.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Dane Sweeny | 57c | 65.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dane Sweeny | 29c | 62.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yuta Shimizu | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dane Sweeny | 31c | 58.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Dane Sweeny | 48c | 52.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dane Sweeny | 26c | 50.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yuta Shimizu | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Dane Sweeny | 53c | 47.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Dane Sweeny | 33c | 45.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yuta Shimizu | 80c | 44.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yuta Shimizu | 45c | 42.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Dane Sweeny | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Dane Sweeny | 57c | 38.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Dane Sweeny | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…a1dabacked Dane Sweeny | 56c | 36.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Dane Sweeny | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 29.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Dane Sweeny | 55c | 28.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yuta Shimizu | 55c | 28.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Yuta Shimizu | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Dane Sweeny | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Dane Sweeny | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Dane Sweeny | 50c | 25.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yuta Shimizu | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…a423backed Yuta Shimizu | 58c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dane Sweeny | 54c | 21.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Dane Sweeny | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tyler: Yuta Shimizu vs Dane Sweenythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shimizu vs SweenyShimizu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.