Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ea9c74f908dcb6fe3c087c4d7382b4fd1404a0596e76a398015294602db9a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 5,631$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.22 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 3,813$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Vitality | 77c | 2,522$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.06 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 2,399$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.52 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 1,920$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 1,460$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.92 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 1,008$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…53adbacked Karmine Corp | 17c | 960.53$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Karmine Corp | 10c | 888.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Karmine Corp | 13c | 873.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Vitality | 70c | 865.18$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Vitality | 78c | 758.58$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2754backed Team Vitality | 71c | 709.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 17c | 638$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Karmine Corp | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 450.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 439$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 438.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Vitality | 69c | 327.69$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp | 21c | 290.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 278$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 245$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Vitality | 78c | 212.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Team Vitality | 78c | 202.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…9907backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Team Vitality | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Karmine Corp | 13c | 180.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 163.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked Team Vitality | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Vitality | 66c | 117.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Vitality | 79c | 108.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Vitality | 60c | 100.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 87.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp | 18c | 82.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 82.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Team Vitality | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Vitality | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Vitality | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…2dc2backed Team Vitality | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Team Vitality | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed Team Vitality | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Team Vitality | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team Vitality | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…8dadbacked Team Vitality | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.