Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece2280b712cbcc243c1b7a740d6185a3652dadc2a2f2ac0e708a70814aa966d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, RE.Arise
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 44c | 4,206$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.66 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed RE.Arise | 14c | 2,300$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 1,575$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.17 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked RE.Arise | 53c | 1,468$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.11 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed RE.Arise | 28c | 1,419$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.87 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 1,373$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.94 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Spirit Academy | 35c | 1,212$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.27 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 1,000$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.19 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed RE.Arise | 54c | 999.98$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.84 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 724.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.14 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 599.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.78 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked RE.Arise | 8c | 590.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked RE.Arise | 65c | 549.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked RE.Arise | 76c | 543.31$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.27 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Spirit Academy | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed RE.Arise | 68c | 407.5$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.1 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked RE.Arise | 52c | 370.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.33 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked RE.Arise | 59c | 362.06$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 62c | 336.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed RE.Arise | 61c | 328.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Spirit Academy | 31c | 327.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 303$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +98%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed RE.Arise | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked RE.Arise | 58c | 267.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked RE.Arise | 42c | 258.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…90d2backed RE.Arise | 75c | 247.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked RE.Arise | 45c | 242.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RE.Arise | 36c | 241.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 213.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked RE.Arise | 64c | 213.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RE.Arise | 43c | 199$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed RE.Arise | 55c | 191.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit Academy | 39c | 191.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf461…9ef2backed Spirit Academy | 32c | 191$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 190.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RE.Arise | 39c | 189$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed RE.Arise | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed RE.Arise | 40c | 175.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed RE.Arise | 41c | 159.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked RE.Arise | 63c | 156.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…f273backed Spirit Academy | 42c | 150.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Spirit Academy | 39c | 123.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked RE.Arise | 38c | 118.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 113.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked RE.Arise | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked RE.Arise | 50c | 109.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 108.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 105.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 15c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Spirit Academy | 47c | 101.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RE.Arise | 50c | 94.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 93.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Spirit Academy | 33c | 89.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed RE.Arise | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RE.Arise | 47c | 73.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 72.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 68.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked RE.Arise | 21c | 66.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked RE.Arise | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Spirit Academy | 30c | 64.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise | 45c | 64.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Spirit Academy | 37c | 61.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed Spirit Academy | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed RE.Arise | 37c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 54.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Spirit Academy | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…8dadbacked Spirit Academy | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed RE.Arise | 52c | 47.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Spirit Academy | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 43.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed RE.Arise | 64c | 40.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RE.Arise | 41c | 36.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9806…2e4ebacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 35.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Spirit Academy | 32c | 32.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…4d46backed Spirit Academy | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked RE.Arise | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed RE.Arise | 63c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked RE.Arise | 57c | 26.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked RE.Arise | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed RE.Arise | 67c | 16.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise (BO3) - European Pro League Group ASpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Game Handicap: RE.Arise (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)Spirit Academy won
- Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs RE.Arise (+1.5)Spirit Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.