Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3c934ab485d6cefd9db2928ce361f3d53089840429a1989962ee3998e32fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, RE.Arise
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RE.Arise | 44c | 1,787$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 22c | 1,211$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.26 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed RE.Arise | 47c | 834.65$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.55 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked RE.Arise | 3c | 817.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 701.46$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.17 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Spirit Academy | 75c | 652.57$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…f092backed RE.Arise | 23c | 549.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 498.59$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.64 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 487.74$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.41 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed RE.Arise | 21c | 485.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 413.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.13 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit Academy | 55c | 406.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed RE.Arise | 15c | 400.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 391.79$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed RE.Arise | 75c | 378.21$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.63 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed RE.Arise | 4c | 374.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…290cbacked RE.Arise | 55c | 350.53$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked RE.Arise | 8c | 327.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 325$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit Academy | 78c | 319.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed RE.Arise | 20c | 310$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 28c | 284.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 277.2$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 275.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 262.28$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed RE.Arise | 79c | 257.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked RE.Arise | 39c | 249.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 244.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 244.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf461…9ef2backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 206$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Spirit Academy | 32c | 203.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Spirit Academy | 77c | 196.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 184.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed RE.Arise | 52c | 169.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 163.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed RE.Arise | 13c | 128.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed RE.Arise | 25c | 120.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked RE.Arise | 19c | 115.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 112.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…500cbacked RE.Arise | 80c | 105.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked RE.Arise | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked RE.Arise | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 97.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 92.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Spirit Academy | 12c | 91.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed RE.Arise | 66c | 81.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 81.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked RE.Arise | 31c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 69.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Spirit Academy | 44c | 61.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…5c42backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 61.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked RE.Arise | 74c | 59.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RE.Arise | 35c | 57.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed RE.Arise | 80c | 52.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 52.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RE.Arise | 29c | 50.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked RE.Arise | 60c | 45.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 45.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed RE.Arise | 44c | 42.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…98a9backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed RE.Arise | 57c | 40.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed RE.Arise | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 37.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 37.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Spirit Academy | 39c | 36.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…61fbbacked Spirit Academy | 59c | 32.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 31.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked RE.Arise | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Spirit Academy | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…4b25backed RE.Arise | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 23.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed RE.Arise | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Game Handicap: RE.Arise (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)Spirit Academy won
- Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs RE.Arise (+1.5)Spirit Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.