Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe080d1d1a5959a1f3ecc6c8a7226bf49944642095a3eb1f00c77202234b1c841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nightblood Gamingof Nightblood Gaming, YFT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed YFT Esports | 37c | 10,000$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.46 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nightblood Gaming | 68c | 3,722$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.08 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked YFT Esports | 54c | 2,112$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.89 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nightblood Gaming | 57c | 1,835$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.31 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Nightblood Gaming | 52c | 1,370$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.79 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 1,271$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.35 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 62c | 1,255$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.93 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed YFT Esports | 42c | 1,057$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed YFT Esports | 37c | 596.51$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.04 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Nightblood Gaming | 57c | 589$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked YFT Esports | 40c | 568.94$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed YFT Esports | 63c | 418.31$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.46 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nightblood Gaming | 59c | 387$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked YFT Esports | 40c | 369.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nightblood Gaming | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nightblood Gaming | 69c | 238.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed YFT Esports | 43c | 233.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Nightblood Gaming | 62c | 215.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 57c | 202.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 59c | 199$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 185.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nightblood Gaming | 51c | 172$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 171.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 162.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nightblood Gaming | 62c | 146.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 140.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…8dadbacked YFT Esports | 39c | 139$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 136.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 121.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nightblood Gaming | 50c | 112.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 108.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Nightblood Gaming | 63c | 103.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 55c | 86.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nightblood Gaming | 50c | 82.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nightblood Gaming | 51c | 76.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nightblood Gaming | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked YFT Esports | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed YFT Esports | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 64.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed YFT Esports | 31c | 61.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…e7bfbacked Nightblood Gaming | 56c | 49.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nightblood Gaming | 33c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Nightblood Gaming | 59c | 42.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked YFT Esports | 43c | 42.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…74d3backed Nightblood Gaming | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked YFT Esports | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed YFT Esports | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Nightblood Gaming | 45c | 33.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Nightblood Gaming | 73c | 31.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked YFT Esports | 46c | 30.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Nightblood Gaming | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nightblood Gaming | 42c | 27.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 26.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsNightblood Gaming won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports - Map 1 WinnerYFT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.