Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd868842494c7028667498c0e8a115cea989ecf2facda18982d6d6695a1b09ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- YFT Esportsof Nightblood Gaming, YFT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Nightblood Gaming | 40c | 3,000$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.7 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked YFT Esports | 52c | 1,605$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.18 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked YFT Esports | 60c | 548.16$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked YFT Esports | 49c | 510.69$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.37 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Nightblood Gaming | 56c | 508.56$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked YFT Esports | 58c | 321.2$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed YFT Esports | 59c | 257.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 78c | 226.12$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Nightblood Gaming | 62c | 220.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked YFT Esports | 44c | 191.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked YFT Esports | 58c | 170.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 151.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked YFT Esports | 60c | 136.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 136.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed YFT Esports | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 104.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked YFT Esports | 56c | 103.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked YFT Esports | 60c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 80.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 79.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 77c | 63.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Nightblood Gaming | 57c | 61.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Nightblood Gaming | 28c | 60.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Nightblood Gaming | 50c | 60.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nightblood Gaming | 45c | 58.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed YFT Esports | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed YFT Esports | 50c | 49.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed YFT Esports | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked YFT Esports | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nightblood Gaming | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed YFT Esports | 56c | 43.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed YFT Esports | 69c | 41.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed YFT Esports | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Nightblood Gaming | 77c | 36.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed YFT Esports | 46c | 35.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Nightblood Gaming | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed YFT Esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked YFT Esports | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed YFT Esports | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 51c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Nightblood Gaming | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 76c | 19.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked YFT Esports | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsNightblood Gaming won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports - Map 2 WinnerNightblood Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.