TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof G2 Esports, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$366,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$395,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked Nongshim RedForce48c73,960$35,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,459.2317948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Nongshim RedForce53c46,790$24,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,021.0654751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Nongshim RedForce46c21,201$9,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.2334356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Nongshim RedForce49c20,794$10,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,605.0152155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked G2 Esports52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40028955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed G2 Esports54c18,500$9,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,917.4124145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked G2 Esports52c15,957$8,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,335.528743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed G2 Esports53c12,803$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,749.534740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6130…a7a6backed Nongshim RedForce47c12,504$5,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,667.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed G2 Esports54c11,586$6,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,222.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G2 Esports52c11,173$5,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,862.644542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed G2 Esports46c10,752$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,906.758145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Nongshim RedForce75c7,927$5,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.476462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed G2 Esports0c7,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed G2 Esports51c5,826$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Esports42c5,238$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.457151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked G2 Esports51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9726738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Nongshim RedForce49c4,766$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.655955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Nongshim RedForce46c4,747$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.493855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed G2 Esports52c4,700$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4441973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked G2 Esports35c4,665$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.3250944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed G2 Esports54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4306746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Nongshim RedForce50c4,377$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.281952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Esports36c3,981$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.041,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed G2 Esports51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked G2 Esports52c3,702$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.0433153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G2 Esports52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82019860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed G2 Esports52c3,250$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6902356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed G2 Esports43c2,987$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.0133838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Nongshim RedForce76c2,691$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.069439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed G2 Esports47c2,569$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.8122344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G2 Esports53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32539042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed G2 Esports52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed Nongshim RedForce47c2,225$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.994156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked G2 Esports43c2,169$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.9642140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked G2 Esports37c2,105$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.8821136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed G2 Esports51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed G2 Esports34c2,077$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.12245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Nongshim RedForce50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed G2 Esports51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Nongshim RedForce48c1,932$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.348144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Nongshim RedForce48c1,888$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.7633348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Esports42c1,781$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.551,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Nongshim RedForce47c1,776$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.284759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Esports37c1,701$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.9984838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G2 Esports52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked G2 Esports41c1,505$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5677744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked G2 Esports46c1,504$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.435142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed G2 Esports44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9910842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed G2 Esports55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.982152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Nongshim RedForce74c1,492$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Esports46c1,483$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.241,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked G2 Esports52c1,477$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.539340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked G2 Esports39c1,457$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.4530835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed G2 Esports38c1,420$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6326932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nongshim RedForce44c1,375$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9914938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked G2 Esports42c1,350$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.526758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Nongshim RedForce69c1,335$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1510628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed G2 Esports57c1,307$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8133346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed G2 Esports42c1,187$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.615143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed G2 Esports38c1,174$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0916144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed G2 Esports52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed G2 Esports43c1,116$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed G2 Esports53c1,078$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5675442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Nongshim RedForce60c1,072$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7819648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed G2 Esports48c1,050$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Nongshim RedForce50c1,026$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.156251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed G2 Esports56c1,008$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.485058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed G2 Esports35c992.33$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.6254342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked G2 Esports51c990.94$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.3826450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Esports37c912.31$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Nongshim RedForce48c899.51$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.3315038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked G2 Esports26c897.96$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.472850%14 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+135.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed Nongshim RedForce46c870$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.87045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked G2 Esports53c855$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.157044.3%31 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacc7…cbbcbacked Nongshim RedForce69c847.73$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Nongshim RedForce60c826.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce53c817.95$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7360022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked G2 Esports30c809.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.043644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed G2 Esports53c802.99$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.585459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb379…0d76backed G2 Esports44c802.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.983132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked G2 Esports25c799.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked G2 Esports54c770$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.86048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Nongshim RedForce57c750.21$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.336647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed G2 Esports54c750$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4056256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Esports18c744.3$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7469722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked G2 Esports56c734.53$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed G2 Esports54c730.56$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.58347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…e373backed Nongshim RedForce58c724.49$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.35366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce57c714.23$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.611,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim RedForce47c705.64$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9955152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5220…96ddbacked G2 Esports29c664.58$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1670%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports49c638.28$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed G2 Esports37c629.25$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2953442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Nongshim RedForce58c624.22$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4223151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed G2 Esports51c619.31$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8740944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed G2 Esports18c585.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.932245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x85a9…4e21backed Nongshim RedForce69c582.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.384755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed G2 Esports52c579.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb319…7130backed Nongshim RedForce55c569.25$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.512171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.