Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe41d7b8529b8cd7b1d65d58b5c76a06942c6f76d3ca38292aef4509575da8c3

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nongshim RedForceof G2 Esports, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,668 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x860a…2754backed Nongshim RedForce	39c	1,529$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.73	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nongshim RedForce	69c	1,225$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.63	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Nongshim RedForce	48c	691.7$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.24	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed G2 Esports	55c	642.54$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.27	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce	53c	619.88$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.65	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce	46c	588.64$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.57	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed G2 Esports	59c	569.25$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed G2 Esports	19c	517.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked G2 Esports	56c	465.39$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.59	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb379…0d76backed G2 Esports	44c	458.75$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Esports	60c	446$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.6	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked G2 Esports	63c	409.84$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	146	53.4%78 W · 68 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Nongshim RedForce	64c	388.56$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.56	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Esports	62c	369$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.78	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Nongshim RedForce	71c	314.39$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.72	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Nongshim RedForce	56c	313.99$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.16	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Nongshim RedForce	69c	249.99$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	224	55.4%124 W · 100 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nongshim RedForce	47c	244$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.63	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked G2 Esports	42c	239.11$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.21	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb02…c292backed G2 Esports	54c	232.79$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.41	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+5.3wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Esports	46c	224.27$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.88	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed G2 Esports	40c	201.91$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed G2 Esports	33c	201.8$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.59	220	18.2%40 W · 180 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Nongshim RedForce	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked G2 Esports	49c	193.34$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.53	236	44.5%105 W · 131 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Nongshim RedForce	44c	166.22$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.09	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Nongshim RedForce	60c	165.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.57	151	60.3%91 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Nongshim RedForce	49c	164.49$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.49	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Nongshim RedForce	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.2	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed G2 Esports	50c	157.26$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.33	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce	46c	146.44$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.08	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Nongshim RedForce	61c	144.92$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.62	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked G2 Esports	65c	131.18$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	128	56.3%72 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Nongshim RedForce	51c	126.21$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.21	342	53.2%182 W · 160 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed G2 Esports	49c	122.51$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Nongshim RedForce	46c	120.79$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.17	430	59.8%257 W · 173 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed G2 Esports	33c	112.43$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.34	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1a…89d0backed G2 Esports	32c	111.03$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Esports	47c	110.08$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.62	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked G2 Esports	35c	101.92$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.62	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked G2 Esports	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 Esports	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Esports	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.25	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Esports	51c	95$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.92	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Nongshim RedForce	46c	80$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	361	45.7%165 W · 196 L	+22.8wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce	66c	76.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed G2 Esports	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce	75c	74.32$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Nongshim RedForce	58c	68.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.97	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Nongshim RedForce	58c	68.9$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.9	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed G2 Esports	28c	62.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	28cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Nongshim RedForce	43c	58.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked G2 Esports	51c	57.47$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	204	39.2%80 W · 124 L	-18.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed G2 Esports	55c	55.56$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.56	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Nongshim RedForce	59c	51.44$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce	46c	51.35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.73	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed G2 Esports	49c	50.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.73	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed G2 Esports	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Nongshim RedForce	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked G2 Esports	36c	44.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	385	48.6%187 W · 198 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Nongshim RedForce	35c	42.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.85	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Nongshim RedForce	49c	41.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.34	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed Nongshim RedForce	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf3bf…147fbacked Nongshim RedForce	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked G2 Esports	38c	35.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce	42c	31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.98	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Esports	40c	29.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed G2 Esports	43c	29.77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	196	48.5%95 W · 101 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Nongshim RedForce	58c	29.3$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed G2 Esports	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e4c…c8c6backed G2 Esports	55c	23.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Esports	51c	22.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CNongshim RedForce won
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event