TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x38f2…97a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+4,380.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$16.03
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donskibacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$82.49
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swanbacked Katie Swan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.76
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.19
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$10.61
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dangbacked Yiming Dang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sunbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicovabacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.95
Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$53.27
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Bengaluru 2: Manish Sureshkumar vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+99,900%+$11,628.36
Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+448.3%+$51.51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Valesbacked Amit Vales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.04
Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midonbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.89
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.68
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$32.63
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.89
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.07
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.4
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.61
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.88
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$3.28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$9.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$31.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$10.97
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed AJ Auxerre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+67%+$36.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+50%+$7.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.