TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,200,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,214,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,200,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs48c604,713$290,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290,26287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Knicks52c384,800$200,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,7048148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Knicks52c300,000$156,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,999.945154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs48c62,500$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs47c58,773$27,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,623.2618651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,499.9611333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks53c49,798$26,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,520.0164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs47c38,887$18,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,276.7172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs47c25,000$11,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,749.981,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Knicks52c24,324$12,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,675.7114538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Knicks53c22,111$11,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,392.325655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Knicks53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4004252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Knicks53c18,900$10,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8835848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Spurs48c16,665$7,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.23116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks51c13,553$6,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,640.7639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs48c11,662$5,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,597.69945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…a222backed Knicks52c10,985$5,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,272.941947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks52c9,946$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,811.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Knicks53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9611654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Knicks53c9,200$4,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3246045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks49c7,226$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.5455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks44c5,816$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.81,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Spurs48c5,770$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.615952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks53c5,634$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.1920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Spurs47c5,500$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5851,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs48c5,325$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.0544252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spurs47c5,042$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.3169149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40062051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs50c4,794$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.4211447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Knicks53c4,564$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.244050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs57c4,391$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs49c4,059$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.71,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Spurs47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8806336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Knicks53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88022041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Knicks52c3,779$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.8416050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Knicks37c3,500$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2051464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+60.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs47c3,333$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.4976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Spurs48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs36c3,122$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Knicks52c3,100$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4883100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Spurs47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Knicks52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9821142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs50c2,499$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.641,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs57c2,354$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.2469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks46c2,326$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.4119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Spurs48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Spurs48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs45c2,034$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.095349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Knicks53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Spurs48c1,983$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.91825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Knicks53c1,886$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.4223553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Knicks53c1,882$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Spurs48c1,868$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.645358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks66c1,846$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4720352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Knicks53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84632957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks59c1,630$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Knicks53c1,620$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.410650%53 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks43c1,615$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.6563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks53c1,585$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.952,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Spurs48c1,562$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Spurs48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72014731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Knicks52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Spurs48c1,348$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.872650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Knicks53c1,321$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.754452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Knicks52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57668944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs41c1,122$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.2318235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs49c1,120$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.751,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs47c1,102$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.1519959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Spurs47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6112542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Knicks53c1,055$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0812857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Knicks53c1,047$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.1721957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Spurs48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Spurs48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Knicks52c1,019$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.2365649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs48c1,016$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.644337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Knicks52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Knicks53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Knicks53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.436450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Knicks53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.45160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs48c869.16$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Spurs48c859.04$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.345839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs48c858.74$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Spurs48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008242.7%35 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed Knicks52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Spurs48c766.67$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3686639.4%26 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs20c766.04$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Spurs48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Spurs47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Knicks29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+198.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Knicks48c678.27$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.8817551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks52c677.08$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks44c666.66$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Knicks53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.385964.4%38 W · 21 L+9.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks52c656.85$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.