UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e11673670e109b5421f53000745be21c451a827688e9bfa86dcf5ca886731d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcus McGheeof Marcus McGhee, John Yannis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed John Yannis | 22c | 29,999$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.84 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 22,724$17,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.05 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed John Yannis | 22c | 20,754$4,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.85 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 19,357$14,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.19 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked John Yannis | 23c | 17,859$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.54 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked John Yannis | 5c | 13,385$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.23 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed John Yannis | 22c | 12,097$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.39 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 11,813$9,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.71 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed John Yannis | 21c | 9,886$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.1 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed John Yannis | 23c | 9,747$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.81 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 8,954$6,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed John Yannis | 22c | 6,790$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 4,861$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.05 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed John Yannis | 18c | 4,754$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.19 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked John Yannis | 7c | 3,872$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.78 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked John Yannis | 10c | 3,792$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.98 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed John Yannis | 12c | 3,769$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed John Yannis | 23c | 3,150$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 2,566$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed John Yannis | 19c | 2,551$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed John Yannis | 23c | 2,421$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 2,381$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.96 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 2,305$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.15 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed John Yannis | 22c | 2,200$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Marcus McGhee | 78c | 2,181$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.76 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked John Yannis | 9c | 2,180$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked John Yannis | 1c | 2,153$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed John Yannis | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…52b2backed John Yannis | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed John Yannis | 10c | 1,880$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed John Yannis | 10c | 1,858$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 1,700$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 1,672$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.48 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Marcus McGhee | 79c | 1,550$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed John Yannis | 4c | 1,477$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 1,430$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.55 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 1,410$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 1,351$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed John Yannis | 22c | 1,280$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked John Yannis | 23c | 1,257$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked John Yannis | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked John Yannis | 23c | 1,126$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…5bc3backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 1,008$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.69 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked John Yannis | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Marcus McGhee | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed John Yannis | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Marcus McGhee | 78c | 961.78$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 927.93$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…e06abacked John Yannis | 12c | 860.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked John Yannis | 8c | 812$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed John Yannis | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed John Yannis | 24c | 761.83$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked John Yannis | 19c | 740$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 720.46$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 714.29$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed John Yannis | 20c | 699.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Marcus McGhee | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed John Yannis | 4c | 627$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 616.89$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Marcus McGhee | 77c | 610.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed John Yannis | 11c | 600.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed John Yannis | 8c | 597.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…043dbacked Marcus McGhee | 77c | 597.4$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked John Yannis | 23c | 580.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed John Yannis | 11c | 570.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Marcus McGhee | 78c | 525.18$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…e8ffbacked Marcus McGhee | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…89f2backed John Yannis | 10c | 500.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 469.46$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 453$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed John Yannis | 22c | 447.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 439.92$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 433.19$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed John Yannis | 9c | 429$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked John Yannis | 23c | 405.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked John Yannis | 11c | 400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Marcus McGhee | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Marcus McGhee | 79c | 354.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked John Yannis | 7c | 346.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e1…535ebacked Marcus McGhee | 78c | 341.58$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Marcus McGhee | 79c | 334.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Marcus McGhee | 78c | 304.44$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Marcus McGhee | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed John Yannis | 23c | 291.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3111backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 284.81$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 262.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Marcus McGhee | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Marcus McGhee | 77c | 256$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked John Yannis | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Marcus McGhee | 77c | 230.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Marcus McGhee | 78c | 230$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked John Yannis | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…ae3bbacked John Yannis | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked John Yannis | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marcus McGhee | 76c | 208.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked John Yannis | 8c | 207.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.