TailMyPicks

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UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marcus McGheeof Marcus McGhee, John Yannis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf438…9559backed John Yannis22c29,999$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.848744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Marcus McGhee78c22,724$17,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,961.054156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed John Yannis22c20,754$4,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,562.8516244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Marcus McGhee77c19,357$14,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,372.1913452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked John Yannis23c17,859$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.5435253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked John Yannis5c13,385$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.2337152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed John Yannis22c12,097$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.394047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Marcus McGhee78c11,813$9,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.717452.7%39 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed John Yannis21c9,886$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.119154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed John Yannis23c9,747$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.817128.2%20 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Marcus McGhee77c8,954$6,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed John Yannis22c6,790$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.82263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Marcus McGhee78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Marcus McGhee78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Marcus McGhee77c4,861$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.055152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed John Yannis18c4,754$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.1929151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked John Yannis7c3,872$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7815939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked John Yannis10c3,792$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9835848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2eb…83b2backed John Yannis12c3,769$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed John Yannis23c3,150$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.535826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Marcus McGhee78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6607159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Marcus McGhee78c2,566$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.372948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed John Yannis19c2,551$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.729133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed John Yannis23c2,421$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Marcus McGhee78c2,381$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9626736%96 W · 171 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Marcus McGhee77c2,305$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.158551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed John Yannis22c2,200$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4844341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Marcus McGhee78c2,181$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.763571.4%25 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked John Yannis9c2,180$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4254%1 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-80%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked John Yannis1c2,153$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.538826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed John Yannis20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99b…52b2backed John Yannis20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed John Yannis10c1,880$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9814929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed John Yannis10c1,858$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1918145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Marcus McGhee77c1,700$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Marcus McGhee77c1,672$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4815641%64 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Marcus McGhee79c1,550$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.53345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed John Yannis4c1,477$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.084327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b1f…49e6backed Marcus McGhee78c1,430$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.553259.4%19 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Marcus McGhee78c1,410$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Marcus McGhee77c1,351$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed John Yannis22c1,280$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked John Yannis23c1,257$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2126140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3155…268ebacked John Yannis4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506759.7%40 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked John Yannis23c1,126$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x676b…5bc3backed Marcus McGhee78c1,008$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.693959%23 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked John Yannis23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Marcus McGhee80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008458.3%49 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed John Yannis10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa476…8cfcbacked Marcus McGhee78c961.78$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.592774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Marcus McGhee78c927.93$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.143847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ceb…e06abacked John Yannis12c860.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked John Yannis8c812$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8426451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed John Yannis5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed John Yannis24c761.83$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.843941%16 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked John Yannis19c740$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.618644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Marcus McGhee78c720.46$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2690553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Marcus McGhee77c714.29$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed John Yannis20c699.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf334…bdefbacked Marcus McGhee79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.917159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed John Yannis4c627$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marcus McGhee77c616.89$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8815444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Marcus McGhee77c610.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.528851.1%45 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f44…bc79backed John Yannis11c600.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.26729.9%20 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed John Yannis8c597.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0418032.8%59 W · 121 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf8…043dbacked Marcus McGhee77c597.4$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked John Yannis23c580.35$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.482445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed John Yannis11c570.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8633132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Marcus McGhee78c525.18$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.543053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d8…e8ffbacked Marcus McGhee79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.332060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…89f2backed John Yannis10c500.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Marcus McGhee77c469.46$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9811657.8%67 W · 49 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Marcus McGhee78c453$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.668851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed John Yannis22c447.64$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4810270.6%72 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Marcus McGhee78c439.92$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7120248.5%98 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Marcus McGhee77c433.19$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.631952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed John Yannis9c429$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.992934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked John Yannis23c405.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Marcus McGhee78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8836655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked John Yannis11c400$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.65418.5%10 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Marcus McGhee79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7518647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Marcus McGhee79c354.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.673743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked John Yannis7c346.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0711240.2%45 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e1…535ebacked Marcus McGhee78c341.58$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.151369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Marcus McGhee79c334.97$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.976339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Marcus McGhee78c304.44$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.982268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Marcus McGhee80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6033948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed John Yannis23c291.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6713647.1%64 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f1…3111backed Marcus McGhee78c284.81$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.663100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Marcus McGhee77c262.34$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.342128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Marcus McGhee78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4115848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Marcus McGhee77c256$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.885655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked John Yannis23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Marcus McGhee77c230.38$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.996653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Marcus McGhee78c230$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked John Yannis23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x571e…ae3bbacked John Yannis23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked John Yannis24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Marcus McGhee76c208.33$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked John Yannis8c207.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5138353.3%204 W · 179 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.