UFC · resolved market
O/U 2.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a37c3cf305d23d114e5f85306ade98895c4b7c07ed561c2bf1367098550b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 48c | 38,804$18,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,178.36 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 13,313$6,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910.44 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 12,699$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,603.59 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 51c | 7,457$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.87 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Under | 52c | 5,908$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 51c | 4,396$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.89 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 4,180$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Under | 54c | 2,230$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 49c | 1,226$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.59 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 51c | 1,154$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.54 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 51c | 1,091$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 49c | 999.86$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.93 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 801.62$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.26 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Over | 52c | 648.23$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 52c | 635.78$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.61 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 558.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.27 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Under | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 49c | 400.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Under | 52c | 377.84$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 52c | 374.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 51c | 368$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 51c | 361$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Under | 52c | 315.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Under | 51c | 289$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 52c | 279$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 51c | 264.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 51c | 233.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbc…1545backed Under | 51c | 228.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…9a94backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 48c | 172.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Under | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 51c | 147.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 51c | 146$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 51c | 145.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Under | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…775fbacked Under | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 52c | 135.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 52c | 127$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Under | 52c | 109.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…611ebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 49c | 94.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Under | 51c | 84.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…b692backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Under | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…c94bbacked Under | 52c | 69.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 49c | 67.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…a7c8backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Under | 51c | 56.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 56.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Over | 51c | 51.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…ce61backed Under | 51c | 50.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…88cabacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Over | 49c | 44.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…0c7bbacked Under | 52c | 42.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…297bbacked Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 49c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Under | 52c | 30.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 49c | 29.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 51c | 29.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Over | 49c | 28.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…8a80backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 2.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)Marcus McGhee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.