TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INOX Divisionof ARCRED, INOX Division
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked ARCRED52c25,000$12,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.0675652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division48c23,402$11,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,124.735,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked ARCRED52c16,136$8,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,317.9816245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed INOX Division48c10,243$4,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,326.146744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked INOX Division75c3,574$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5963157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed ARCRED51c2,027$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.8360848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed INOX Division47c2,000$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05549935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed ARCRED53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79520249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed INOX Division49c1,448$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.082,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed ARCRED27c1,219$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9316544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked INOX Division49c1,112$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.25246.2%24 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed INOX Division52c1,100$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.3512154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED25c1,048$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.134,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed ARCRED25c999.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9914242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed INOX Division48c952.9$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.725147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed INOX Division47c854$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6221744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed INOX Division48c635.91$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.678540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed INOX Division48c633$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.164949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed ARCRED30c599.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17824942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked INOX Division48c563.79$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.1734140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed INOX Division48c543.75$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.751,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed ARCRED49c522.49$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed INOX Division48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26020750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed ARCRED52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26057641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed INOX Division48c433.25$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.295347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed INOX Division50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ARCRED52c400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20699148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed INOX Division48c390.08$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8423732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b7…d0e2backed INOX Division64c359.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…c0e4backed ARCRED53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c50…f744backed INOX Division48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked ARCRED30c299.76$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9414939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed ARCRED53c299$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4759049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed INOX Division48c297.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9213738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked INOX Division65c291.04$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.654,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked INOX Division49c279.59$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5917449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa75b…ea01backed ARCRED56c269.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-45.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked INOX Division48c265.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3891945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked INOX Division48c264.58$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.586744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed ARCRED37c264.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed ARCRED47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed INOX Division69c236.24$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2726075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed INOX Division47c235$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5512334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed INOX Division48c221.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7237855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed INOX Division48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5844244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked INOX Division47c209$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.776744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed INOX Division48c208.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3277351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed INOX Division48c207.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.986251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked ARCRED52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10419147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed INOX Division48c199$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4821545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked INOX Division57c194.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4510063%63 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed ARCRED52c190$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.865946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ARCRED33c174.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.12,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed ARCRED28c173.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812038.3%46 W · 74 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed ARCRED38c171.39$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1327544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb347…84b4backed INOX Division63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734273.8%31 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked INOX Division76c132.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.067,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c0…28f8backed INOX Division51c129.52$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.522055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed INOX Division79c119.28$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.288660.5%52 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed INOX Division50c118.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2830951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed ARCRED51c111.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.719557.9%55 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4057…3e70backed ARCRED52c109.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked INOX Division48c105.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.085549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed ARCRED31c105.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2416935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked ARCRED51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514045%18 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed ARCRED52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5237050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked ARCRED52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked ARCRED52c97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0565548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked INOX Division49c95.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8974653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed INOX Division48c93.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3919052.6%100 W · 90 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9410…b32ebacked INOX Division77c93.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.046256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ARCRED35c89.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.596,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed INOX Division48c87.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.753759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b9…244fbacked ARCRED53c86.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.531118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-65.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cad…48b5backed INOX Division48c85.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.422755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed ARCRED53c83.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.417149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed INOX Division70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2419762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed ARCRED52c76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1467750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed INOX Division48c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5233146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4915…0a12backed ARCRED53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+98.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e3…d785backed ARCRED51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked INOX Division78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked INOX Division71c63.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3844675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed INOX Division48c58.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2683856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed INOX Division69c57.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.126443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked ARCRED31c54.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1737140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed INOX Division48c54.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.176352.4%33 W · 30 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked ARCRED52c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0427746.2%128 W · 149 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked ARCRED47c50.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7858343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed INOX Division75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed INOX Division53c44.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.973860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked INOX Division47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.320457.8%118 W · 86 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4b4…17b1backed ARCRED49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.29037.8%34 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598e…755dbacked ARCRED52c29.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.564341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eeb…89cebacked INOX Division70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked ARCRED40c26.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7330545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed INOX Division53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4220067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x120e…6850backed INOX Division60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked ARCRED40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.