TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AJ Auxerreof Lille OSC, AJ Auxerre
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Lille OSC43c79,400$34,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,089.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked AJ Auxerre57c50,691$28,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,805.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lille OSC43c15,413$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,627.725642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked AJ Auxerre57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed AJ Auxerre56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked AJ Auxerre56c9,160$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.2387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked AJ Auxerre57c7,084$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.851,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed AJ Auxerre57c6,521$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed AJ Auxerre55c5,350$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.4552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AJ Auxerre62c5,220$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.321,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed AJ Auxerre57c5,144$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.7618351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed AJ Auxerre56c3,256$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.75257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a15…dbacbacked Lille OSC44c2,235$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked AJ Auxerre56c1,692$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.82875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed AJ Auxerre57c1,616$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.983948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Lille OSC44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6163737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed AJ Auxerre57c1,248$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1622745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked AJ Auxerre57c1,158$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed AJ Auxerre57c1,150$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked AJ Auxerre58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Lille OSC30c974.83$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.076132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Lille OSC45c959.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed AJ Auxerre56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed AJ Auxerre57c851.69$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.144753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed AJ Auxerre57c614.02$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.878150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Lille OSC43c574.88$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked AJ Auxerre69c544.39$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.762045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd508…0009backed AJ Auxerre57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed AJ Auxerre55c480.33$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7729637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a30…eb65backed Lille OSC44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Lille OSC43c445$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Lille OSC45c443.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Lille OSC44c419.98$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.991540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed AJ Auxerre57c394.66$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.742665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed AJ Auxerre56c372.11$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Lille OSC44c352.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.312250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Lille OSC43c320$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Lille OSC46c273$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed AJ Auxerre57c273$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6327748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked AJ Auxerre57c270$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked AJ Auxerre57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed AJ Auxerre57c174.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed AJ Auxerre57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.84847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed AJ Auxerre55c141.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.521752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked AJ Auxerre58c140.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Lille OSC39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Lille OSC40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Lille OSC43c124.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.743036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed AJ Auxerre56c124.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6120150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Lille OSC43c114$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.028254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Lille OSC48c103.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Lille OSC45c100.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.042250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked AJ Auxerre56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed AJ Auxerre69c82.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.616755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed AJ Auxerre57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked AJ Auxerre57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.44650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Lille OSC45c67.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lille OSC41c58.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6317817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed AJ Auxerre56c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.363764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed AJ Auxerre55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed AJ Auxerre56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed AJ Auxerre56c52.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1612367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked AJ Auxerre73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Lille OSC42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc1…b855backed AJ Auxerre57c47.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Lille OSC43c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e01…e34abacked Lille OSC44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed AJ Auxerre55c44.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.771656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed AJ Auxerre55c42.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.983357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lille OSC27c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4218847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed AJ Auxerre74c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.862365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed AJ Auxerre56c40.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6410248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Lille OSC27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe61d…5f97backed AJ Auxerre57c38.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Lille OSC45c36.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Lille OSC45c36.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.423345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked AJ Auxerre56c35.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.535251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked AJ Auxerre57c35.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed AJ Auxerre58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8233145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Lille OSC43c34.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked AJ Auxerre58c34.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+102.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed AJ Auxerre64c32.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.743268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed AJ Auxerre57c32.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.844440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked AJ Auxerre59c31.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.813560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed AJ Auxerre57c30.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed AJ Auxerre59c30.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Lille OSC45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed AJ Auxerre56c29.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f05…a70fbacked AJ Auxerre58c28.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e62…8124backed Lille OSC46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed AJ Auxerre57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked AJ Auxerre68c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.335560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed AJ Auxerre58c25.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5113250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd4…b5e3backed Lille OSC43c24.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f6…f9f7backed Lille OSC46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4135…185fbacked Lille OSC46c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f2…97a6backed AJ Auxerre56c20.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed AJ Auxerre74c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.